Texas State vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 12, 2024

Updated Oct. 12, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) are 13.5-point underdogs in a road Sun Belt matchup with the Texas State Bobcats (3-2) on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at UFCU Stadium. The game's over/under is 65.5.

Against the Troy Trojans in their most recent game, the Bobcats won 38-17. The Red Wolves won versus the South Alabama Jaguars in their last game, 18-16.

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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Texas State vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of October 12, 2024, 2:49 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas State	-13.5 (-111)	-552	+400	65.5	-110	-110

Texas State vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+13.5)
Pick OU: Under (65.5)
Prediction: Texas State 32, Arkansas State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas State Bobcats vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

Texas State vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Bobcats 40, Red Wolves 26.
The Bobcats have an 84.7% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves have a 20.0% implied probability.
Texas State has won two games against the spread this season.
Arkansas State has covered twice in four games with a spread this year.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, Texas State has totaled two wins against Arkansas State.
In those contests versus Texas State, the Red Wolves have covered two times while eclipsing the total on one occasion.
Texas State has been outpaced by 41 points in its last three tilts versus Arkansas State.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Texas State	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.6 (31)	21 (116)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	25 (64)	30.2 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (109)	9 (96)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (75)	8 (46)

Texas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan McCloud	QB	1,393 YDS (69.2%) / 15 TD / 5 INT 173 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 34.6 RUSH YPG
Joey Hobert	WR	32 REC / 317 YDS / 5 TD / 63.4 YPG
Jaden Williams	WR	27 REC / 365 YDS / 4 TD / 73 YPG
Ismail Mahdi	RB	343 YDS / 2 TD / 68.6 YPG / 4.3 YPC 11 REC / 89 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.3 REC YPG
Steven Parker	DL	12 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Ben Bell	DL	10 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Jo'Laison Landry	DL	8 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Kalil Alexander	DL	8 TKL / 3 TFL / 4 SACK

Arkansas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	1,125 YDS (59.3%) / 4 TD / 5 INT 135 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 27 RUSH YPG
Corey Rucker	WR	25 REC / 437 YDS / 2 TD / 87.4 YPG
Zak Wallace	RB	164 YDS / 2 TD / 32.8 YPG / 3.2 YPC
Courtney Jackson	WR	16 REC / 169 YDS / 0 TD / 33.8 YPG
Trevian Thomas	DB	27 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Justin Parks	DB	29 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Charles Willekes	LB	28 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Marvin Ham II	LB	33 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK