SMU vs. Missouri State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 13, 2025

Updated Sep. 13, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (1-1) are facing tough odds as 27.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 13, 2025 against the SMU Mustangs (1-1). The point total is set at 60.5 for the contest.

The Mustangs lost against the Baylor Bears in their most recent game, 48-45. The Bears' most recent game was against the Marshall Thundering Herd, and they won by a score of 21-20.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

SMU vs. Missouri State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

SMU vs Missouri State Betting Information updated as of September 13, 2025, 1:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
SMU	-27.5 (-117)	-4545	+1550	60.5	-112	-108

SMU vs. Missouri State Prediction

Pick ATS: Missouri State (+27.5)
Pick OU: Over (60.5)
Prediction: Missouri State 40, SMU 38

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the SMU Mustangs vs. the Missouri State Bears game on FOX Sports!

SMU vs. Missouri State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Mustangs 44, Bears 16.
The Mustangs have a 97.8% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 6.1% implied probability.
SMU is winless against the spread this season (0-1-0).
Missouri State has won one game against the spread this year.

SMU vs. Missouri State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	SMU	Missouri State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	43.5 (32)	17 (114)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	30.5 (102)	46.5 (131)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (108)	4 (108)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (7)	2 (64)

SMU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kevin Jennings	QB	555 YDS (73.1%) / 5 TD / 2 INT 28 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 14 RUSH YPG
Romello Brinson	WR	11 REC / 247 YDS / 3 TD / 123.5 YPG
Tomarion Harden	RB	157 YDS / 3 TD / 78.5 YPG / 5.8 YPC
Jalen Cooper	WR	7 REC / 162 YDS / 2 TD / 81 YPG
Cam Robertson	DL	5 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Ahmaad Moses	DB	5 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Kevin Allen	DL	4 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Terry Webb	DL	4 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK

Missouri State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jacob Clark	QB	506 YDS (67.3%) / 4 TD / 3 INT
Ramone Green Jr.	RB	29 YDS / 0 TD / 14.5 YPG / 4.8 YPC 6 REC / 151 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 75.5 REC YPG
Jmariyae Robinson	WR	6 REC / 115 YDS / 1 TD / 57.5 YPG
Shomari Lawrence	RB	99 YDS / 0 TD / 49.5 YPG / 3.4 YPC 5 REC / 26 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13 REC YPG
Mitchell Toney	DL	2 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK
Kanye Young	LB	0 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
DJ Wesolak	DL	0 TKL / 0 TFL
Edubedike Nnabugwu	OL	0 TKL / TFL