New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

Updated Sep. 27, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (2-1) are facing tough odds as 15.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 27, 2025 against the New Mexico Lobos (2-1). An over/under of 53.5 is set in the game.

In their most recent game, the Lobos won versus the UCLA Bruins, 35-10. The Aggies lost against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in their most recent game, 49-14.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: MW Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

New Mexico vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico	-15.5 (-110)	-676	+480	53.5	-109	-117

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (-15.5)
Pick OU: Under (53.5)
Prediction: New Mexico 37, New Mexico State 12

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Lobos 34, Aggies 19.
The Lobos have an 87.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies have a 17.2% implied probability.
New Mexico has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
New Mexico State has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Head-to-Head

The last four times New Mexico State and New Mexico have played, the two teams share a split 2-2 record.
The Aggies have a 3-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on two occasions.
Over their last four head-to-head matchups, New Mexico State has put up 113 points, while New Mexico has tallied 110.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico	New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28 (105)	18 (130)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22 (39)	22 (39)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (96)	5 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (96)	4 (75)

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Damon Bankston	RB	200 YDS / 2 TD / 66.7 YPG / 8 YPC 8 REC / 125 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 41.7 REC YPG
Scottre Humphrey	RB	222 YDS / 3 TD / 74 YPG / 6.5 YPC
Jack Layne	QB	515 YDS (66.7%) / 3 TD / 3 INT -6 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -2 RUSH YPG
DJ McKinney	RB	139 YDS / 1 TD / 46.3 YPG / 4.6 YPC
Jaxton Eck	LB	25 TKL / 0 TFL
David Murphy	DB	11 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Caleb Coleman	DB	12 TKL / 0 TFL
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	7 TKL / 1 TFL

New Mexico State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Logan Fife	QB	760 YDS (54.1%) / 5 TD / 3 INT 37 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 12.3 RUSH YPG
PJ Johnson III	WR	13 REC / 211 YDS / 2 TD / 70.3 YPG
Donovan Faupel	WR	13 REC / 177 YDS / 1 TD / 59 YPG
Gavin Harris	TE	9 REC / 130 YDS / 1 TD / 43.3 YPG
Jamall Thompson	DL	9 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Sone Aupiu	LB	5 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Tyler Martinez	LB	8 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Ezra Christensen	DL	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK