NC State vs. East Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28, 2025

Updated Aug. 28, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The East Carolina Pirates (0-0) are facing tough odds as 14.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Thursday, August 28, 2025 against the NC State Wolfpack (0-0). The point total is 61.5.

The Wolfpack finished 6-7 last year and lost the Military Bowl. They scored 28.5 points per game (62nd in college football) and allowed 30.2 (103rd). Last season the Pirates finished 8-5 and won the Military Bowl. On offense, they averaged 32 points per game (34th in college football), and they gave up 27.3 per game (83rd in college football) on defense.

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NC State vs. East Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

NC State vs East Carolina Betting Information updated as of August 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
NC State	-14.5 (-104)	-613	+445	61.5	-111	-109

NC State vs. East Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: East Carolina (+14.5)
Pick OU: Under (61.5)
Prediction: NC State 32, East Carolina 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the NC State Wolfpack vs. the East Carolina Pirates game on FOX Sports!

NC State vs. East Carolina Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolfpack 38, Pirates 24.
The Wolfpack have an 86.0% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Pirates hold an 18.3% implied probability.
NC State went 4-8-0 ATS last season.
East Carolina compiled a 6-5-1 ATS record last year.

NC State vs. East Carolina: Head-to-Head

NC State and East Carolina have been evenly matched over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
In those matchups versus NC State, the Pirates have covered two times while never eclipsing the total.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, East Carolina has scored 46 points, while NC State has tallied 42.

NC State vs. East Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison

	NC State	East Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28.5 (59)	32 (37)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	30.2 (111)	27.3 (89)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	23 (120)	30 (133)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (43)	22 (27)

NC State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
CJ Bailey	QB	2,413 YDS (64.9%) / 17 TD / 10 INT 279 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 21.5 RUSH YPG
Daylan Smothers	RB	571 YDS / 6 TD / 47.6 YPG / 6.4 YPC 19 REC / 263 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 23.9 REC YPG
Kevin Concepcion	WR	53 REC / 460 YDS / 6 TD / 38.3 YPG
Jordan Waters	RB	469 YDS / 4 TD / 39.1 YPG / 4.9 YPC 15 REC / 167 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.6 REC YPG
Sean Brown	LB	75 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK
Davin Vann	DL	36 TKL / 8 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Donovan Kaufman	DB	62 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Bishop Fitzgerald	DB	45 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

East Carolina 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rahjai Harris	RB	1,166 YDS / 11 TD / 89.7 YPG / 5.7 YPC
Katin Houser	QB	2,006 YDS (60.8%) / 18 TD / 11 INT 164 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 12.6 RUSH YPG
Winston Wright	WR	54 REC / 556 YDS / 8 TD / 50.5 YPG
Anthony Smith	WR	41 REC / 799 YDS / 6 TD / 61.5 YPG
Omar Rogers	DB	90 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Zakye Barker	LB	73 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK
Michael Edwards III	LB	70 TKL / 5 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Gavin Gibson	DB	48 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD