
Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11
Updated Nov. 11, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET
Data Skrive
The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (9-0) and the fifth-ranked scoring offense will square off against the No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) and the third-ranked scoring defense on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The Wolverines are favored by 4.5 points in the outing. The game's point total is set at 45.
The Wolverines won against the Purdue Boilermakers in their most recent game, 41-13. Against the Maryland Terrapins in their last contest, the Nittany Lions won 51-15.
Michigan vs. Penn State Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
- Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania
- TV: FOX
- Live boxscore on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | -4.5 (-111) | -205 | +169 | 45 | -110 | -110 |
Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (+4.5)
- Pick OU: Over (45)
- Prediction: Penn State 25, Michigan 24
Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Penn State Nittany Lions game on FOX Sports!
Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolverines 25, Nittany Lions 20.
- The Wolverines have a 67.2% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Nittany Lions have a 37.2% implied probability.
- Michigan has covered four times in nine games with a spread this season.
- Penn State has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover twice.
Michigan vs. Penn State: Head-to-Head
- In their past two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has taken down Penn State two times.
- The Wolverines own a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
- Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has put up 62 points, while Penn State has compiled 34.
Michigan vs. Penn State: 2023 Stats Comparison
| Michigan | Penn State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 40.7 (6) | 40.2 (7) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 6.7 (1) | 11.9 (3) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 6 (5) | 4 (1) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 15 (31) | 20 (2) |
Michigan 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | 2,134 YDS (75.7%) / 18 TD / 3 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 15.2 RUSH YPG |
| Blake Corum | RB | 649 YDS / 16 TD / 72.1 YPG / 5.2 YPC |
| Roman Wilson | WR | 36 REC / 589 YDS / 10 TD / 65.4 YPG |
| Colston Loveland | TE | 27 REC / 419 YDS / 4 TD / 46.6 YPG |
| Michael Barrett | LB | 32 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK |
| Josaiah Stewart | DE | 23 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK |
| Jaylen Harrell | DE | 18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK |
| Derrick Moore | DE | 24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK |
Penn State 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Allar | QB | 1,895 YDS (62.8%) / 20 TD / 1 INT 100 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 11.1 RUSH YPG |
| Nicholas Singleton | RB | 480 YDS / 7 TD / 53.3 YPG / 4.0 YPC 19 REC / 148 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.4 REC YPG |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | 51 REC / 645 YDS / 4 TD / 71.7 YPG |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 573 YDS / 4 TD / 63.7 YPG / 4.8 YPC |
| Adisa Isaac | DE | 22 TKL / 9.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK |
| Abdul Carter | LB | 32 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT |
| Curtis Jacobs | LB | 34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK |
| Dani Dennis-Sutton | DE | 19 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK |
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