Liberty vs. UMass Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 18

Updated Nov. 18, 2023 9:06 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 25 Liberty Flames (10-0) are big 27.5-point favorites on Saturday, November 18, 2023 against the UMass Minutemen (3-7). The contest has a point total set at 63.5.

The Flames won versus the Old Dominion Monarchs in their most recent game, 38-10. The Minutemen won versus the Merrimack Warriors in their last game, 31-21.

Liberty vs. UMass Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia
TV: ESPN+
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Liberty vs UMass Betting Information updated as of November 18, 2023, 8:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Liberty	-27.5 (-112)	-4973	+1530	63.5	-110	-110

Liberty vs. UMass Prediction

Pick ATS: Liberty (-27.5)
Pick OU: Under (63.5)
Prediction: Liberty 45, UMass 16

Learn more about the Liberty Flames vs. the UMass Minutemen game on FOX Sports!

Liberty vs. UMass Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Flames 46, Minutemen 18.
The Flames have a 98.0% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Minutemen hold a 6.1% implied probability.
Liberty has compiled an 8-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
UMass has won four games against the spread this season, failing to cover six times.

Liberty vs. UMass: Head-to-Head

In their past two head-to-head matchups, Liberty has taken down UMass two times.
In their most recent two matchups, each team has covered one time while both contests hit the over on the total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Liberty has tallied 104 points versus UMass, while allowing only 41 points.

Liberty vs. UMass: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Liberty	UMass
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39 (11)	23.5 (98)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.7 (34)	37.4 (129)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (29)	11 (29)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (5)	13 (73)

Liberty 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kaidon Salter	QB	2,184 YDS (59.3%) / 26 TD / 4 INT 705 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 70.5 RUSH YPG
Quinton Cooley	RB	1,066 YDS / 9 TD / 106.6 YPG / 5.9 YPC
CJ Daniels	WR	37 REC / 792 YDS / 8 TD / 79.2 YPG
Aaron Bedgood	WR	14 REC / 165 YDS / 2 TD / 16.5 YPG
Tyren Dupree	LB	77 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 2 INT
Brylan Green	S	31 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 INT
Jerome Jolly Jr.	LB	35 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Kobe Singleton	CB	23 TKL / 0 TFL / 4 INT / 5 PD

UMass 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kay'Ron Adams	RB	1,014 YDS / 9 TD / 101.4 YPG / 5 YPC
Anthony Simpson	WR	45 REC / 637 YDS / 3 TD / 63.7 YPG
Gregroy Desrosiers	RB	285 YDS / 4 TD / 28.5 YPG / 9.2 YPC 12 REC / 148 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Taisun Phommachanh	QB	1,038 YDS (62.3%) / 4 TD / 3 INT 40 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 4 RUSH YPG
Billy Wooden	DL	39 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Nahji Logan	LB	43 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Tyler Rudolph	DB	25 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
JB Brown	DL	28 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK