Iowa vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:06 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Big Ten rivals square off when the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) host the Michigan State Spartans (2-2) on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa is favored by 12.5 points. The over/under is set at 36.5 points for the contest.

The Hawkeyes' last game was against the Penn State Nittany Lions, and they lost by a score of 31-0. The Spartans lost to the Maryland Terrapins, 31-9, in their most recent game.

Iowa vs. Michigan State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa
TV: NBC
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Iowa vs Michigan State Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 8:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Iowa	-12.5 (-109)	-457	+346	36.5	-110	-110

Iowa vs. Michigan State Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan State (+12.5)
Pick OU: Over (36.5)
Prediction: Iowa 23, Michigan State 17

Learn more about the Iowa Hawkeyes vs. the Michigan State Spartans game on FOX Sports!

Iowa vs. Michigan State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Hawkeyes 24, Spartans 12.
The Hawkeyes have an 82.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Spartans have a 22.4% implied probability.
Iowa has won two games against the spread this season.
Michigan State has won two games against the spread this year.

Iowa vs. Michigan State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Iowa	Michigan State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	21.3 (108)	23.0 (95)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	17.0 (26)	23.3 (66)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (88)	8 (105)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (110)	4 (97)

Iowa 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Leshon Williams	RB	173 YDS / 0 TD / 43.3 YPG / 6.9 YPC 6 REC / 44 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.0 REC YPG
Cade McNamara	QB	459 YDS (50.6%) / 4 TD / 3 INT
Kamari Moulton	RB	68 YDS / 2 TD / 17.0 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Jaziun Patterson	RB	104 YDS / 1 TD / 26.0 YPG / 5.0 YPC
Jay Higgins	LB	41 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Nick Jackson	LB	33 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Joe Evans	DE	16 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Cooper DeJean	DB	19 TKL / 0.0 TFL

Michigan State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Nathan Carter	RB	369 YDS / 4 TD / 92.3 YPG / 5.1 YPC 9 REC / 60 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.0 REC YPG
Noah Kim	QB	897 YDS (56.4%) / 6 TD / 3 INT
Tre Mosley	WR	13 REC / 157 YDS / 1 TD / 39.3 YPG
Jaron Glover	WR	9 REC / 203 YDS / 0 TD / 50.8 YPG
Angelo Grose	DB	21 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Cal Haladay	LB	24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Dillon Tatum	DB	27 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Aaron Brule	LB	17 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK