Michigan vs. Duke Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 21

Published Feb. 18, 2026 1:29 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (25-1) will try to extend an 11-game winning streak when they visit the No. 3 Duke Blue Devils (24-2) at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The Blue Devils have won three games in a row.

The Wolverines, who are favored by 4 points, are set to take on the Blue Devils. The game features a point total of 151.

Continue scrolling to get all you need to know ahead of wagering on the Michigan-Duke matchup.

Michigan vs. Duke How to Watch & Odds

When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Wolverines vs Blue Devils Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Wolverines	-4	-110	-110	151	-110	-110	-104	-115

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Michigan vs. Duke Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (+4)
Pick OU: Over (151)
Prediction: Michigan 78, Duke 75

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Duke Blue Devils game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Duke Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Wolverines 78, Blue Devils 74.
The Wolverines have a 51.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Blue Devils hold a 53.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan has covered 14 times in 26 chances against the spread this season.
Duke has covered 14 times in 26 matchups with a spread this year.
Michigan is 11-12 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.

Key Total Facts

The Wolverines games have had more than 151 points scored on 17 occasions this season.
Blue Devils games have had over 151 points 11 times this year.
These teams score 173.6 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 22.6.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan has won 96% of its games this season when the moneyline favorite (24-1).
Duke will play as the underdog for the first time this season.
Michigan has gone 24-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -104 or shorter (winning 96%).
Duke has played as an underdog of -115 or more once this season and won that game.

Michigan vs. Duke: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Duke
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	90.6 (4)	83.0 (45)
Points Allowed (Rank)	68.8 (59)	63.2 (3)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.0 (115)	10.3 (80)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.4 (65)	8.9 (99)
Assists (Rank)	19.5 (3)	16.8 (41)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.9 (263)	10.5 (119)

Michigan 2025-26 Key Players

Wolverines Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Yaxel Lendeborg	26	14.4	7.5	3.2	1.2	1.5	1.3
Morez Johnson Jr.	26	13.5	7.3	1.2	0.8	1.1	0.2
Aday Mara	26	11.2	7.1	2.5	0.4	2.7	0.1
Elliot Cadeau	26	10.1	2.7	5.5	0.7	0.1	1.7
Trey McKenney	26	10.0	2.7	1.0	0.4	0.0	1.7

Duke 2025-26 Key Players

Blue Devils Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Cameron Boozer	26	22.8	10.0	3.8	1.7	0.5	1.5
Isaiah Evans	26	14.7	3.0	1.2	1.0	0.8	2.5
Patrick Ngongba II	25	10.6	6.2	2.0	0.7	1.2	0.3
Caleb Foster	26	8.5	3.7	2.5	0.3	0.1	1.2
Cayden Boozer	26	6.7	2.1	2.8	0.9	0.1	0.5