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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 128 FBS teams. We simulate thousands of games and use those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 128 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts.
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 79.0 | 28.3 | 16.9 |
| 2. | Florida State Seminoles | +1 | 78.7 | 30.2 | 19.2 |
| 3. | Oregon Ducks | +1 | 77.4 | 30.4 | 20.3 |
| 4. | TCU Horned Frogs | -2 | 76.6 | 29.8 | 19.6 |
| 5. | Kansas State Wildcats | +5 | 75.0 | 28.6 | 19.0 |
| 6. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +2 | 74.2 | 28.0 | 18.9 |
| 7. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -2 | 74.0 | 28.1 | 18.7 |
| 8. | Ole Miss Rebels | -1 | 72.9 | 26.7 | 18.2 |
| 9. | Baylor Bears | -3 | 72.6 | 29.9 | 21.1 |
| 10. | UCLA Bruins | -1 | 71.3 | 28.3 | 20.1 |
| 11. | Auburn Tigers | +1 | 70.0 | 27.9 | 20.2 |
| 12. | Michigan State Spartans | -1 | 70.0 | 25.7 | 18.3 |
| 13. | Arizona Wildcats | - | 68.7 | 28.6 | 21.7 |
| 14. | USC Trojans | +7 | 68.5 | 26.8 | 20.4 |
| 15. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +2 | 68.4 | 29.9 | 23.2 |
| 16. | Arizona State Sun Devils | - | 68.4 | 27.7 | 20.5 |
| 17. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -3 | 68.2 | 26.5 | 20.0 |
| 18. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -3 | 67.9 | 27.8 | 20.9 |
| 19. | Missouri Tigers | - | 67.9 | 26.0 | 19.3 |
| 20. | Georgia Bulldogs | -2 | 67.8 | 27.8 | 20.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Oklahoma Sooners | +2 | 67.4 | 26.9 | 20.2 |
| 22. | Louisville Cardinals | +6 | 67.3 | 25.2 | 19.0 |
| 23. | West Virginia Mountaineers | +1 | 66.8 | 28.6 | 22.8 |
| 24. | Wisconsin Badgers | +1 | 65.4 | 24.4 | 18.3 |
| 25. | Utah Utes | +5 | 64.6 | 25.2 | 20.0 |
| 26. | Clemson Tigers | -4 | 64.1 | 25.4 | 20.5 |
| 27. | South Carolina Gamecocks | - | 62.5 | 26.2 | 21.5 |
| 28. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +9 | 62.5 | 25.1 | 20.5 |
| 29. | Tennessee Volunteers | +5 | 61.8 | 23.8 | 19.8 |
| 30. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | -10 | 61.6 | 23.7 | 20.4 |
| 31. | East Carolina Pirates | -2 | 61.5 | 28.7 | 24.1 |
| 32. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 61.4 | 23.5 | 19.3 |
| 33. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +3 | 61.0 | 23.0 | 19.4 |
| 34. | Texas A&M Aggies | -1 | 60.0 | 26.7 | 23.0 |
| 35. | Texas Longhorns | +4 | 60.0 | 24.1 | 20.4 |
| 36. | Stanford Cardinal | -1 | 59.8 | 23.5 | 20.1 |
| 37. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -5 | 58.9 | 25.8 | 22.0 |
| 38. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +12 | 58.2 | 23.1 | 19.8 |
| 39. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +3 | 58.1 | 26.9 | 23.5 |
| 40. | Florida Gators | +4 | 57.7 | 23.5 | 20.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Maryland Terrapins | -1 | 57.4 | 24.2 | 21.4 |
| 42. | Colorado State Rams | +4 | 57.3 | 28.1 | 25.5 |
| 43. | Washington Huskies | -5 | 57.2 | 23.9 | 21.1 |
| 44. | California Golden Bears | +3 | 57.2 | 28.8 | 26.8 |
| 45. | Boston College Eagles | - | 56.6 | 23.4 | 21.3 |
| 46. | Virginia Cavaliers | +5 | 56.5 | 22.6 | 20.7 |
| 47. | Duke Blue Devils | -21 | 56.3 | 24.5 | 21.4 |
| 48. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -7 | 55.4 | 22.7 | 20.5 |
| 49. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -6 | 55.3 | 26.2 | 24.9 |
| 50. | Boise State Broncos | -1 | 54.6 | 27.2 | 25.6 |
| 51. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +2 | 54.4 | 27.1 | 25.1 |
| 52. | Utah State Aggies | +6 | 54.3 | 24.2 | 22.8 |
| 53. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -1 | 54.2 | 24.2 | 22.8 |
| 54. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +2 | 52.3 | 24.1 | 23.3 |
| 55. | Kentucky Wildcats | -1 | 52.2 | 23.7 | 22.8 |
| 56. | Michigan Wolverines | +6 | 51.8 | 22.0 | 21.2 |
| 57. | Oregon State Beavers | +2 | 51.4 | 26.1 | 25.8 |
| 58. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -10 | 51.0 | 21.4 | 20.8 |
| 59. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +4 | 50.1 | 25.7 | 26.0 |
| 60. | Memphis Tigers | +6 | 50.0 | 23.9 | 24.0 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -6 | 49.8 | 27.6 | 27.8 |
| 62. | UCF Knights | +5 | 49.7 | 23.5 | 23.6 |
| 63. | Washington State Cougars | -6 | 49.5 | 29.1 | 29.1 |
| 64. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | - | 48.4 | 24.2 | 24.9 |
| 65. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +5 | 48.3 | 23.3 | 23.8 |
| 66. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -1 | 48.0 | 23.8 | 24.1 |
| 67. | Northwestern Wildcats | +2 | 48.0 | 20.4 | 21.1 |
| 68. | Air Force Falcons | -7 | 47.7 | 23.4 | 24.3 |
| 69. | BYU Cougars | -9 | 47.6 | 21.0 | 21.4 |
| 70. | Temple Owls | -2 | 46.9 | 22.5 | 23.9 |
| 71. | Toledo Rockets | +1 | 46.6 | 24.2 | 25.5 |
| 72. | Rice Owls | +9 | 46.1 | 22.7 | 24.3 |
| 73. | Bowling Green Falcons | +3 | 45.9 | 23.7 | 25.5 |
| 74. | Navy Midshipmen | +3 | 45.8 | 24.0 | 25.5 |
| 75. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +23 | 45.5 | 25.8 | 27.2 |
| 76. | Western Michigan Broncos | -3 | 45.3 | 24.5 | 26.4 |
| 77. | Appalachian State Mountaineers | +7 | 44.1 | 24.2 | 27.0 |
| 78. | Texas State Bobcats | +26 | 43.9 | 23.2 | 25.2 |
| 79. | Georgia Southern Eagles | +3 | 43.3 | 24.3 | 26.2 |
| 80. | South Alabama Jaguars | +11 | 43.2 | 21.5 | 24.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Houston Cougars | -6 | 43.0 | 22.6 | 24.9 |
| 82. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -3 | 42.9 | 23.6 | 26.4 |
| 83. | Kansas Jayhawks | - | 42.5 | 21.2 | 23.5 |
| 84. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -13 | 42.4 | 23.1 | 25.9 |
| 85. | Syracuse Orange | -7 | 42.4 | 19.4 | 21.9 |
| 86. | San Diego State Aztecs | +13 | 42.4 | 22.3 | 24.9 |
| 87. | Colorado Buffaloes | +1 | 42.0 | 22.6 | 25.4 |
| 88. | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | +9 | 41.8 | 22.8 | 25.9 |
| 89. | Indiana Hoosiers | -3 | 41.7 | 22.5 | 25.8 |
| 90. | Purdue Boilermakers | -16 | 40.8 | 21.8 | 25.1 |
| 91. | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | +2 | 40.6 | 22.5 | 26.2 |
| 92. | Central Michigan Chippewas | -7 | 40.4 | 22.3 | 25.5 |
| 93. | New Mexico Lobos | -6 | 40.4 | 24.4 | 28.1 |
| 94. | UAB Blazers | +2 | 39.7 | 24.2 | 27.8 |
| 95. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | - | 39.5 | 18.6 | 22.3 |
| 96. | South Florida Bulls | +7 | 39.4 | 20.4 | 24.5 |
| 97. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | -7 | 39.3 | 22.5 | 25.8 |
| 98. | UTEP Miners | +9 | 39.2 | 23.4 | 27.4 |
| 99. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -19 | 39.0 | 19.7 | 23.2 |
| 100. | Ohio Bobcats | +2 | 38.9 | 21.8 | 25.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Old Dominion Monarchs | +10 | 38.9 | 25.4 | 29.6 |
| 102. | Iowa State Cyclones | -13 | 38.9 | 21.3 | 25.3 |
| 103. | Wyoming Cowboys | -3 | 38.4 | 22.1 | 26.3 |
| 104. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -12 | 38.2 | 25.0 | 29.4 |
| 105. | Akron Zips | +1 | 36.9 | 20.9 | 25.6 |
| 106. | Buffalo Bulls | -5 | 36.9 | 22.5 | 27.1 |
| 107. | Army Black Knights | +2 | 36.4 | 21.1 | 26.2 |
| 108. | North Texas Mean Green | +2 | 35.6 | 19.1 | 24.6 |
| 109. | San Jose State Spartans | -4 | 34.8 | 23.1 | 28.6 |
| 110. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +3 | 34.7 | 22.8 | 28.8 |
| 111. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -17 | 33.9 | 22.3 | 28.3 |
| 112. | Massachusetts Minutemen | +3 | 33.9 | 21.1 | 27.0 |
| 113. | UNLV Rebels | +6 | 33.8 | 21.1 | 27.2 |
| 114. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -2 | 33.8 | 20.7 | 26.5 |
| 115. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | +1 | 33.8 | 20.1 | 25.8 |
| 116. | Tulane Green Wave | -2 | 33.8 | 19.0 | 24.8 |
| 117. | Ball State Cardinals | -9 | 33.4 | 20.2 | 26.3 |
| 118. | Connecticut Huskies | - | 33.4 | 18.5 | 24.8 |
| 119. | UTSA Roadrunners | -2 | 32.0 | 18.6 | 25.7 |
| 120. | FIU Golden Panthers | - | 28.3 | 17.6 | 25.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Troy Trojans | - | 26.9 | 20.8 | 29.6 |
| 122. | New Mexico State Aggies | +1 | 25.2 | 20.5 | 30.2 |
| 123. | Georgia State Panthers | +2 | 24.8 | 20.0 | 30.3 |
| 124. | Idaho Vandals | - | 23.9 | 19.5 | 29.7 |
| 125. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -3 | 23.3 | 17.3 | 27.9 |
| 126. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | - | 21.2 | 16.5 | 27.4 |
| 127. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | - | 20.6 | 17.5 | 28.9 |
| 128. | SMU Mustangs | - | 18.7 | 16.5 | 29.2 |
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