Manchester City vs. Newcastle United Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb 21

Published Feb. 20, 2026 11:55 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The upcoming fixture list in the Premier League includes second-place Manchester City hosting 10th-place Newcastle United -- two top-half teams -- on Saturday, Feb. 21 at 3 p.m. ET. Our game prediction can be found below.

With 54 goals in 26 games, Manchester City is first in the Premier League. On the other side, Newcastle has conceded 37 goals in 26 games, 11th in the league. Offensively, Newcastle is eighth in the Premier League (37 goals, 1.4 per match). And defensively, Manchester City is second (24 goals conceded, 0.9 per match). With 54 goals scored and 24 allowed, Manchester City is second in the Premier League in goal differential. With 37 goals scored and the same amount allowed, Newcastle is eighth in the Premier League in goal differential.

Manchester City earned a win on Feb. 11 against Fulham by a final score of 3-0. The victorious Manchester City took one more shot in the contest, 14 to 13. Nico O Reilly, Antoine Semenyo and Erling Haaland combined to score the three goals for their team in the match against Fulham. Newcastle took down Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 on the road in its last game on Feb. 10, while outshooting Tottenham Hotspur 20 to 16. Jacob Ramsey and Malick Thiaw paced Newcastle with a goal each. They had two and one shot, respectively.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle Odds & Betting Lines

Manchester City vs Newcastle Betting Information updated as of February 20, 2026, 11:39 p.m. ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Manchester City -193	Newcastle +441	3.5	+107	-137

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Manchester City -193
Total Pick: Under 3.5 goals
Score Prediction: Manchester City 2, Newcastle 0

Manchester City vs. Newcastle Match Info

Match Day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
Match Time: 3 p.m. ET
Location: Manchester, England
Stadium: Etihad Stadium
TV: Universo, Peacock Premium
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Manchester City's Moneyline Performance

Manchester City has 15 wins as a favorite this season, in 24 opportunities.
Thus far this season, Manchester City (-193) has been at least this big a favorite 12 times, and won nine.
The likelihood of Manchester City winning this match is 65.9%, based on the moneyline.

Manchester City's Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Erling Haaland	26	22	6	73	17
Rayan Cherki	22	3	7	18	30
Phil Foden	23	7	3	28	33
Tijani Reijnders	25	5	2	27	8
Bernardo Silva	26	1	4	7	20

Manchester City's Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Fulham	2/11/2026	H	W	3-0	14	13
Liverpool	2/8/2026	A	W	2-1	16	15
Tottenham	2/1/2026	A	D	2-2	12	11
Wolverhampton	1/24/2026	H	W	2-0	11	10
Manchester United	1/17/2026	A	L	2-0	7	10

Newcastle's Moneyline Performance

Newcastle has been the underdog in seven matches this season, and won one.
Thus far this season, Newcastle has not been this big an underdog (+441).
The likelihood of Newcastle winning this match is 18.5%, based on the moneyline.