Falcons vs. Dolphins 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 26

Updated Oct. 26, 2025 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons (3-3) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5) over the Miami Dolphins (1-6). The Dolphins have lost three games in a row. The predicted point total for the matchup is 44.5.

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Falcons vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of October 26, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Falcons	-6.5	-125	-107	44.5	-105	-115

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Falcons vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Falcons (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (44.5)
Prediction: Falcons 29 - Dolphins 15

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Miami

Game date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Falcons vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Atlanta and Miami have been matched up evenly over their last two matchups, sharing the same 1-1 record.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Miami has put up 48 points, while Atlanta has tallied 47.

Atlanta Betting Info

In six Atlanta games this year, it has three wins against the spread.
Atlanta games this year have gone over the total in one out of six opportunities (16.7%).
The Falcons have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
The Falcons have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 78.3%.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	228.0 (1,368)	10
Rush yards	136.3 (818)	4
Points scored	18.3 (110)	30
Pass yards against	141.2 (847)	1
Rush yards against	124.0 (744)	19
Points allowed	20.0 (120)	8

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Bijan Robinson's rushing stat line this season includes 524 yards (sixth in the NFL) and two TDs. He's averaging 87.3 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (third in the NFL).
Robinson has 39 targets, 30 receptions, 390 receiving yards and two TDs through the air.
Michael Penix Jr. has 1,409 passing yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 61% of his passes, averaging 234.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
He has tacked on 43 rushing yards (7.2 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Drake London has two touchdown catches this season, and has 38 catches for 469 yards on 63 targets, while averaging 6.3 catches and 78.2 yards per game.
Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 203 yards with three touchdowns (33.8 yards per game through six games).

Defense

On the defensive side for the Falcons, Kaden Elliss has powered the unit with 36 tackles, four TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
Xavier Watts has 36 tackles and two interceptions this season.
This season, Zach Harrison has put up 3.5 sacks (first on the Falcons) in addition to his four TFL and 17 tackles.
DeAundre Alford has one interception while also adding 17 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has put together a 3-4-0 record against the spread this year.
The Dolphins covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 6.5 points or more.
This year, Miami games have hit the over six times.
The Dolphins have been the underdog in four games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 26.0% chance of a victory for the Dolphins.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	186.6 (1,306)	26
Rush yards	92.4 (647)	29
Points scored	20.0 (140)	24
Pass yards against	203.9 (1,427)	11
Rush yards against	159.3 (1,115)	32
Points allowed	29.3 (205)	29

Miami's Key Players

Offense

De'Von Achane averages 67.4 rushing yards per game this year (472 total yards to rank ninth in the NFL), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
Achane has also played a role the passing game with 211 yards (30.1 per game) on 32 receptions (4.6 per game), while being targeted 43 times. He has three receiving touchdowns.
In seven games, Tua Tagovailoa has 1,313 passing yards, with 11 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against 10 interceptions and completing 67.8% of his passes.
This season, Jaylen Waddle has caught 30 passes for 405 receiving yards with three touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 44 total times and is averaging 4.3 receptions per game over seven games played.
Malik Washington has been targeted 33 times, resulting in 21 catches for 99 yards and zero receiving touchdowns.

Defense

Jordyn Brooks' 2025 effort includes 75 tackles, three TFL, and 1.5 sacks in seven games. He leads the NFL in tackles
Tyrel Dodson has three sacks (second on the Dolphins) to go with five TFL and 54 tackles.
In the 2025 season, Minkah Fitzpatrick has 37 tackles and one interception through seven games.
Bradley Chubb's stats include 20 tackles, five TFL, and four sacks in seven games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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