Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 29

Published Oct. 25, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Eagles (6-1) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5) -- versus the Washington Commanders (3-4) in a battle of two division rivals. The total for this one is set at 43.5 points.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Philadelphia (-6.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Philadelphia 28 - Washington 19

How to Watch Philadelphia vs. Washington

• Game Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: FedExField
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: Watch on FOX

Eagles vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Philadelphia has tallied four wins versus Washington.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Philadelphia has racked up 148 points, while Washington has compiled 125.

Philadelphia Betting Info

• Philadelphia is 4-2-1 against the spread this season.
• The Eagles have not covered the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Philadelphia games in 2023 have gone over the point total three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
• The Eagles have compiled a 6-1 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games).
• Philadelphia has played as a moneyline favorite of -290 or shorter in only two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Eagles a 74.4% chance to win.

Eagles Stats

Philadelphia's Key Players

Offense

• Jalen Hurts ranks seventh in the NFL with 1,821 passing yards through seven games this year, averaging 260.1 per game with a 67.2% completion percentage and nine touchdowns against eight interceptions.
• In addition to his passing statistics, Hurts also has 274 rushing yards (second on the Eagles), with six rushing touchdowns.
• A.J. Brown has 52 catches (fourth in the NFL) for 809 yards (second in the NFL) and three TDs. In seven games, he is averaging 7.4 catches and 115.6 yards per game.
• In seven games, D'Andre Swift has picked up 514 rushing yards (third in the NFL), averaging 73.4 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
• Swift has picked up 26 catches, 128 yards and one TD in the passing game.
• DeVonta Smith has 32 catches for 383 yards and two touchdowns. He's been targeted 50 times in the passing game, and averages 4.6 receptions and 54.7 yards through seven games played.

Defense

• On defense, Josh Sweat has 19 tackles, five TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 2023.
• Nicholas Morrow has 28 tackles, eight TFL, and three sacks this season.
• Reed Blankenship has totaled 38 tackles, two TFL, and one interception this year.
• This season, Haason Reddick has 14 tackles, seven TFL, and 5.5 sacks.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington is 3-4-0 against the spread this year.
• The Commanders covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 6.5 points or more.
• This year, three Washington games have gone over the point total.
• The Commanders have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
• Washington has played as an underdog of +235 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Commanders have a 29.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• In seven games played this year, Sam Howell has racked up 1,749 passing yards (eighth-best in the NFL), while throwing nine touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 65.2% of his passes.
• On the ground, Howell has added one rushing touchdown and 119 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
• Brian Robinson Jr. has 325 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and four rushing touchdowns, while averaging 46.4 yards per game and 3.8 per carry (30th in the NFL).
• Robinson has also picked up 113 receiving yards (16.1 per game) on 11 catches (1.6 per game). He's been targeted 14 times and has caught two touchdown passes.
• Through seven games played this season, Curtis Samuel has 31 catches (4.4 receptions per game on 5.6 targets per game) for 310 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
• Terry McLaurin has 432 receiving yards and one touchdown from 37 receptions after receiving 51 targets.

Defense

• Montez Sweat's 2023 output includes 27 tackles, eight TFL, and 5.5 sacks in seven games.
• Kamren Curl has one sack to go with three TFL and 58 tackles.
• Over the 2023 campaign, Cody Barton has 61 tackles and one TFL through seven games.
• Jamin Davis' stat sheet includes one interception as well as 44 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended in seven games

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