Cowboys vs. Giants 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Cowboys vs. Giants 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Updated Jan. 2, 2026 8:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In a battle of two division rivals, the Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) will play the New York Giants (3-13). The Cowboys are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the matchup is 49.5.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Cowboys vs Giants Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2026, 7:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Cowboys -3.5 -105 -115 49.5 -115 -105

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Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Giants (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (49.5)
  • Prediction: Giants 28 - Cowboys 25

How to Watch Dallas vs. New York

Cowboys vs. Giants Recent Matchups

  • Dallas owns a 5-0 record against New York in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Dallas has put up 176 points, while New York has accumulated 89.

Dallas Betting Info

  • Dallas is 7-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread once this season (1-5 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Dallas games this year have hit the over on 11 of 16 set point totals (68.8%).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Cowboys are 4-5 (winning 44.4% of the time).
  • Looking at this game's moneyline, the Cowboys' implied win probability is 64.9%.

Cowboys Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 274.0 (4,384) 1
Rush yards 124.6 (1,993) 9
Points scored 28.4 (454) 4
Pass yards against 253.6 (4,057) 32
Rush yards against 123.3 (1,972) 20
Points allowed 29.8 (477) 32

Dallas' Key Players

Offense

  • Dak Prescott has passed for 4,482 yards (first in the NFL), 30 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He is averaging 280.1 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 67.4% of his attempts.
  • To go along with his passing statistics, Prescott also has 178 rushing yards (third on the Cowboys), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Javonte Williams has racked up 1,201 rushing yards (sixth in the NFL) with 11 touchdowns (75.1 yards per game over 16 games). His 4.8 yards per attempt rank 12th in the NFL.
  • Williams' 51 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 35 catches (2.2 per game) for 137 yards (8.6 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • George Pickens has nine touchdown catches this season (seventh in the NFL), and has 92 receptions (eighth in the NFL) for 1,420 yards (third in the NFL) on 134 targets, while averaging 5.8 catches and 88.8 yards per game.
  • CeeDee Lamb has 74 receptions for 1,073 yards (ninth in the NFL) and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 116 times in the passing game, and averages 6.2 receptions and 89.4 yards in 12 games played.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Quinnen Williams has 51 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
  • Kenneth Murray has 1.0 sack in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 80 tackles.
  • Shemar James has totaled 67 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
  • Donovan Wilson has two interceptions with 66 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

New York Betting Info

  • New York has registered an 8-8-0 record against the spread this season.
  • So far this year, the Giants have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 7-4 ATS in those contests.
  • New York's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 10 times this season.
  • The Giants have entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won twice.
  • The Giants have a 39.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Giants Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 203.4 (3,255) 21
Rush yards 127.1 (2,034) 6
Points scored 21.7 (347) 21
Pass yards against 218.7 (3,499) 20
Rush yards against 145.4 (2,327) 30
Points allowed 26.4 (422) 26

New York's Key Players

Offense

  • In 13 games played this year, Jaxson Dart has totaled 2,042 passing yards, with 13 touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 63.2% of his attempts.
  • Dart has also rushed for nine touchdowns and 455 yards (second on the Giants).
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has 1,014 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 92 receptions (eighth in the NFL), while being targeted 140 times.
  • So far this season in 14 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has churned out 637 rushing yards (leading the Giants) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 45.5 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (34th in the NFL).
  • Tracy's offensive output includes 28 receptions (2.0 per game) on 39 targets for 232 yards (16.6 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • Theo Johnson has 528 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 45 receptions after getting 74 targets.

Defense

  • In 2025, Brian Burns has amassed 16.5 sacks to go with 21.0 TFL and 65 tackles through 16 games. He ranks second in the NFL in sacks.
  • Bobby Okereke has one interception on top of 137 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
  • Dane Belton has 89 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in the 2025 season. He is second on the Giants in tackles.
  • Abdul Carter's stats include 43 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and four sacks in 14 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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