Chiefs vs. Cowboys 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 27

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on November 27, 2025, starting at 4:30 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 53.5.

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Chiefs vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Lines

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Chiefs vs. Cowboys Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Chiefs (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (53.5)
  
• Prediction: Chiefs 27 - Cowboys 23

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Dallas

• Game date: Thursday, November 27, 2025
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Location: Arlington, Texas
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Cowboys Recent Matchups

• Kansas City and Dallas have been evenly matched over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
• Kansas City has been outpaced by 1 point in its last two tilts versus Dallas.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has played 11 games, posting five wins against the spread.
• The Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-4 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
• Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in three out of 11 opportunities (27.3%).
• The Chiefs have a 5-4 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games).
• Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 64.9%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes has 2,977 passing yards (second in the NFL), 18 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 64.4% of his attempts, averaging 270.6 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 318 yards (third on the Chiefs) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 28.9 rushing yards per game.
• Kareem Hunt's rushing statline this season includes 457 yards and seven TDs. He is averaging 41.5 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (33rd in the NFL).
• He has caught 13 passes (on 16 targets) for 92 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 8.4 receiving yards and 1.2 catches per game.
• In 11 games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 61.3 yards and 4.9 receptions per game on the way to 674 receiving yards and 54 catches. He's been targeted 72 times, and has four receiving touchdowns.
• Marquise Brown has 439 receiving yards and four touchdowns with 39 catches on 58 targets. He is averaging 3.5 receptions and 39.9 yards per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Nick Bolton has 89 tackles and 5.0 TFL in 2025.
• Chamarri Conner has 72 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
• George Karlaftis III has put up 35 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and five sacks this year.
• Trent McDuffie has one interception while tacking on 55 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.

Dallas Betting Info

• Dallas has compiled a 6-5-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Games involving Dallas have hit the over on seven occasions this year.
• The Cowboys have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cowboys have a 39.4% chance to win.

Cowboys Stats

Dallas' Key Players

Offense

• Dak Prescott has thrown for 2,941 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with 23 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and seven interceptions. He is completing 69.3% of his passes while averaging 267.4 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• Prescott has also rushed for two touchdowns and 126 yards (second on the Cowboys).
• George Pickens has 1,054 receiving yards (second in the NFL) and eight touchdowns (third in the NFL) on 67 receptions (eighth in the NFL), while being targeted 92 times.
• Javonte Williams has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has totaled 896 rushing yards (81.5 per game and 5.0 per attempt).
• In addition to his rushing stats, Williams has pulled down 28 passes (on 39 targets) for 107 yards (seventh on the Cowboys), with one receiving touchdown. He averages 9.7 yards per game.
• Jake Ferguson has 65 catches (10th in the NFL) for 460 yards and seven receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL). He averages 5.9 yards per game in 11 games and has been targeted 77 times.

Defense

• Kenneth Murray has 68 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in 2025.
• Quinnen Williams has 37 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
• In the 2025 campaign, Daron Bland has 59 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception in nine games.
• Shemar James' stat sheet includes 54 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in eight games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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