Buccaneers vs. Patriots 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 9

Having won one in a row, the New England Patriots (7-2) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2). Despite that, the Buccaneers are slight favorites (-2.5). The matchup has an over/under of 49.5 points.

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Buccaneers vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

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Buccaneers vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (49.5)
  
• Prediction: Buccaneers 26 - Patriots 20

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. New England

• Game date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Buccaneers vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• In their past two matchups, New England holds a split 1-1 record against Tampa Bay.
• Over their last two head-to-head matchups, New England has scored 36 points, while Tampa Bay has posted 33.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• In eight Tampa Bay games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread twice when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• Tampa Bay games this year have gone over the total in four out of eight opportunities (50%).
• The Buccaneers were favored on the moneyline four times this season, and won each of those games.
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Buccaneers a 59.7% chance to win.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield has 1,919 passing yards in eight games this year, averaging 239.9 per game with a 63.9% completion percentage and 13 touchdowns against two interceptions.
• He has tacked on 158 rushing yards (19.8 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
• Emeka Egbuka's 562 receiving yards this season have come from 63 targets and 34 receptions. He's averaging 70.3 receiving yards and 4.3 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
• Rachaad White has 287 rushing yards with four touchdowns (35.9 yards per game across eight games).
• White has 21 catches, 117 yards and zero TDs through the air.
• Bucky Irving has rushed for 237 yards without a TD on the ground (59.3 yards per game through four games).
• Irving's 19 receiving targets have resulted in 19 receptions (4.8 per game) for 193 yards (48.3 per game) and two TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Tykee Smith has two sacks (fifth on the Buccaneers) to go with four TFL and 66 tackles in 2025.
• SirVocea Dennis has 59 tackles, seven TFL, and two sacks this season. He's second on the Buccaneers in tackles.
• Lavonte David has recorded 57 tackles, six TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception this year. He's third on the Buccaneers in tackles.
• Antoine Winfield Jr. has one sack to go along with his three TFL, 41 tackles, and one interception this year.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread six times this season (6-3-0).
• The Patriots covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 2.5 points or more.
• This year, five New England games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Patriots have won two out of the three games in which they've been the underdog.
• The implied probability of a win by the Patriots based on the moneyline is 44.6%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Drake Maye has passed for 2,285 yards this year (to rank fifth in the NFL), with 17 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and four interceptions. He is completing 74.1% of his passes while averaging 253.9 yards per game and 9 per attempt.
• On the ground, Maye has added two rushing touchdowns and 270 rushing yards (third on the Patriots).
• Kayshon Boutte has put together a 2025 stat sheet that includes 23 catches for 431 yards and five receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL) over nine games played. He has been on the receiving end of 31 targets and is averaging 2.6 receptions per game.
• So far this season, Stefon Diggs has caught 45 passes for 508 receiving yards with two touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 53 total times and is averaging five receptions per game in nine games played.
• Hunter Henry has 29 catches for 368 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.2 yards per game through nine games and has been targeted 43 times.

Defense

• Robert Spillane's 2025 effort includes 72 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in nine games. He leads the Patriots in tackles.
• Harold Landry's stats include 31 tackles, seven TFL, and 5.5 sacks.
• In the 2025 season, Marcus Jones has 39 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and two interceptions through nine games.
• K'Lavon Chaisson has totaled 5.5 sacks (first on the Patriots) as well as seven TFL and 15 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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