
Buccaneers vs. Panthers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 3
Updated Jan. 3, 2026 2:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Having dropped four straight, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) will face the Carolina Panthers (8-8). Despite that, the Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). An over/under of 43.5 points has been established for the matchup.
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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -3 | -105 | -115 | 43.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-3)
- Pick OU: Over (43.5)
- Prediction: Buccaneers 24 - Panthers 20
How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Carolina
- Game date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- TV: ABC/ESPN
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Recent Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Tampa Bay has totaled four wins versus Carolina.
- Over their last five head-to-head contests, Tampa Bay has racked up 124 points, while Carolina has compiled 78.
Tampa Bay Betting Info
- In 16 Tampa Bay games this season, it has five wins against the spread.
- The Buccaneers have been favored by 3 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- Tampa Bay games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 16 opportunities (50%).
- When playing as moneyline favorites, the Buccaneers have won 50% of the time (5-5).
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 59.7%.
Buccaneers Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 206.4 (3,302) | 20 |
| Rush yards | 112.9 (1,807) | 21 |
| Points scored | 22.8 (364) | 18 |
| Pass yards against | 236.4 (3,783) | 26 |
| Rush yards against | 104.1 (1,665) | 7 |
| Points allowed | 24.8 (397) | 22 |
Tampa Bay's Key Players
Offense
- Baker Mayfield has 3,490 passing yards, 25 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He has completed 62.8% of his passes, averaging 218.1 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
- He has tacked on 351 rushing yards (21.9 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
- Emeka Egbuka has caught 62 passes on 124 targets for 930 total yards and six touchdowns. He is averaging 3.9 catches and 58.1 yards per game through 16 games.
- Rachaad White has 549 rushing yards with four touchdowns (34.3 yards per game across 16 games).
- White has received 43 targets in the passing game and has 38 catches (2.4 per game) for 200 yards (12.5 per game) and zero TDs.
- Bucky Irving has rushed for 503 yards with one touchdown (55.9 yards per game across nine games).
- He has added 29 catches (on 33 targets) for 264 receiving yards with three touchdowns. He's averaging 29.3 receiving yards and 3.2 receptions per game.
Defense
- On defense, Lavonte David has 109 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025. His tackle total leads the Buccaneers.
- Tykee Smith has 95 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season. He's third on the Buccaneers in tackles.
- SirVocea Dennis has totaled one interception and added 98 tackles, 9.0 TFL, three sacks, and five passes defended.
- So far this season, Antoine Winfield Jr. has 90 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions. He's fourth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
Carolina Betting Info
- Carolina has covered the spread nine times in 16 games with a set total.
- The Panthers have been underdogs by 3 points or more 12 times this year and are 7-5 ATS in those contests.
- Games involving Carolina have hit the over on seven occasions this season.
- This season, the Panthers have been the underdog 14 times and won eight, or 57.1%, of those games.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 44.6% chance of a victory for the Panthers.
Panthers Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 173.9 (2,782) | 26 |
| Rush yards | 122.4 (1,958) | 11 |
| Points scored | 18.6 (297) | 27 |
| Pass yards against | 204.3 (3,269) | 14 |
| Rush yards against | 122.3 (1,956) | 19 |
| Points allowed | 22.8 (364) | 16 |
Carolina's Key Players
Offense
- Bryce Young is averaging 6.2 passing yards per attempt (29th in the NFL) and 183.0 yards per game this year, completing 63.2% of his passes on the way to 2,745 total yards, 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through 15 games.
- On the ground, Young has added two rushing touchdowns and 217 rushing yards (third on the Panthers).
- Rico Dowdle has scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,066 rushing yards (4.7 per attempt and 66.6 per game).
- Dowdle has added 37 receptions (2.3 per game) for 277 yards (17.3 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 48 times in the passing attack.
- So far this season, Tetairoa McMillan has caught 66 passes for 929 receiving yards with seven touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 116 total times and is averaging 4.1 receptions per game over 16 games played.
- Chuba Hubbard puts up 35.8 rushing yards per game over 14 games (501 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
- Hubbard has also added 28 catches (2.0 per game) for 216 yards (15.4 per game) and three receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 37 targets.
Defense
- Tre'von Moehrig's 2025 showing includes 97 tackles, 12.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 15 games. He is third on the Panthers in tackles.
- Christian Rozeboom has 114 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks. He leads the Panthers in tackles.
- Mike Jackson Sr. has recorded 4.0 TFL, 61 tackles, and four interceptions in the 2025 season.
- Nick Scott has intercepted one pass and also has 100 tackles and three passes defended.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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