Bills vs. Broncos 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 12

Updated Jan. 12, 2025 12:46 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5), in their AFC Playoffs game versus the Denver Broncos. The matchup has an over/under of 49.5 points.

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Bills vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Bills vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of January 12, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Bills	-8.5	-105	-127	49.5	-109	-122

Bills vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Broncos (+8.5)
Pick OU: Under (49.5)
Prediction: Bills 27 - Broncos 21

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, New York
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Bills vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has beaten Denver three times.
Denver has been outscored by 44 points in its last five tilts against Buffalo.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo is 10-7-0 against the spread this season.
The Bills have covered the spread twice when favored by 8.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
Buffalo contests this year have hit the over 64.7% of the time (11 times in 17 games with a set point total).
The Bills have an 11-2 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 84.6% of those games).
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Bills an 81.0% chance to win.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.9 (3,875)	9
Rush yards	131.2 (2,230)	9
Points scored	30.9 (525)	2
Pass yards against	226.1 (3,843)	24
Rush yards against	115.5 (1,963)	12
Points allowed	21.6 (368)	11

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has 3,731 passing yards, 28 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and six interceptions this year. He has completed 63.6% of his passes, averaging 233.2 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
He has tacked on 531 rushing yards (33.2 per game) and 12 touchdowns on the ground.
James Cook averages 4.9 yards per carry (eighth in the NFL) and 63.1 yards per game, and has 1,009 total rushing yards. He has recorded 16 rushing TDs this season.
Cook's 38 targets through the air have resulted in 32 catches (2.0 per game) for 258 yards (16.1 per game) and two touchdowns.
In 15 games played, Khalil Shakir is averaging 54.7 yards and 5.1 receptions per game on the way to 821 receiving yards and 76 catches. He's been targeted 100 times, and has four receiving touchdowns.
Ray Davis has rushed for 442 yards with three touchdowns (26.0 yards per game in 17 games).
Davis' 19 receiving targets have led to 17 receptions (1.0 per game) for 189 yards (11.1 per game) and three TDs.

Defense

On defense, Gregory Rousseau has 53 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and eight sacks in 2024.
Dorian Williams has 114 tackles and 5.0 TFL this season. He leads the Bills in tackles.
This season, Terrel Bernard has recorded 1.0 sack to go with 5.0 TFL, 104 tackles, and two interceptions.
Damar Hamlin has two interceptions while adding 88 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has put together a record of 12-5-0 against the spread this year.
The Broncos have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 8.5 points or more (in three chances).
Denver's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 10 times this year.
The Broncos have won two of the nine games they've played as underdogs this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Broncos have a 23.3% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	212.4 (3,610)	20
Rush yards	112.2 (1,908)	16
Points scored	25.0 (425)	10
Pass yards against	220.7 (3,752)	19
Rush yards against	96.4 (1,639)	3
Points allowed	18.3 (311)	3

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Bo Nix is averaging 6.7 passing yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 222.1 yards per game this year, completing 66.3% of his passes on the way to 3,775 total yards, 29 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions through 17 games.
On the ground, Nix has added four rushing touchdowns and 430 rushing yards (third on the Broncos).
Courtland Sutton has 81 catches for 1,081 yards and eight receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 135 times and averages 5.1 receptions per game through 16 games played.
Javonte Williams has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has totaled 513 rushing yards (30.2 per game and 3.7 per attempt).
Javonte Williams' offensive output includes 52 receptions (3.1 per game) on 70 targets for 346 yards (20.4 per game), but he has not found the end zone in the passing game.
Marvin Mims has 39 catches for 503 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.3 yards per game through 17 games and has been targeted 52 times.

Defense

In 2024, Nik Bonitto has amassed 48 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one interception over 17 games.
Brandon Jones' stat sheet includes three interceptions as well as 115 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended.
Zach Allen has 61 tackles, 15.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks in the 2024 season.
Jonathon Cooper has 10.5 sacks (second on the Broncos) to go with 11.0 TFL and 58 tackles through 17 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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