Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 30

Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 30

Updated Jan. 30, 2026 9:25 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Golden State Warriors (27-22) battle the Detroit Pistons (34-12) on January 30, 2026. The matchup airs on ESPN, NBCS-BA, and FDSDET. Friday's matchup between the Warriors and the Pistons features the Warriors as moderate 2.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 224.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Pistons game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Pistons Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, January 30, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and FDSDET
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Pistons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -2.5 -110 -110 224.5 -110 -110 -136 +118

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Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction

ATS Pick: Pistons (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 115 - Pistons 114

Warriors vs. Pistons Betting Insights

  • The Warriors have played 33 games with more than 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
  • This year, 23 of the Pistons' 46 total matchups have gone over 224.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average a combined 233.3 points per game, 8.8 more points than the total of 224.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 223.7 points per game, 0.8 fewer than the over/under in this game.
  • Golden State has been the favorite in 36 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (61.1%) in those contests.
  • Detroit has come away with eight wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • After the last two head-to-head meetings, Golden State has a 2-0 record against Detroit.
  • Both the Warriors and the Pistons are 0-0-2 against the spread in those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 8.5 points more than the 224.5 total listed for this matchup.
  • The Warriors are 23-25-1 against the spread this year.
  • Golden State is 15-17-1 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
  • Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 28 times in 46 opportunities (60.9%).
  • The Warriors average 6.4 more points per game (116.5) than the Pistons give up (110.1).
  • Golden State is 19-14-1 against the spread and 23-11 overall when scoring more than 110.1 points.
  • This season, the Warriors have a 46.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.8% higher than the 44.3% of shots the Pistons' opponents have hit.
  • The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread at home (13-10-1) than they have in road tilts (10-15-0).
  • Golden State has gone over the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in 14 of 24 home matchups (58.3%). In away games, it has hit the over in 14 of 25 games (56%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of their home games (.762) compared to road games (.400).

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.5 12
Points Allowed 113.6 10
Rebounds 42.9 23
Assists 28.9 6
Steals 10 3
Blocks 4.5 21

Warriors Leaders

  • Stephen Curry posts 27.3 points, 3.6 boards and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc with 4.5 made 3-pointers per contest (first in league).
  • Brandin Podziemski posts 12.2 points, 3.5 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
  • Draymond Green puts up 8.3 points, 5.3 assists and 5.7 boards per game.
  • Moses Moody averages 11.2 points, 1.5 assists and 3.2 boards.
  • Quinten Post averages 8 points, 4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 43.9% from the field and 35.2% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per game.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 28.5 -108 27.3
De'Anthony Melton 12.5 -106 11.4
Brandin Podziemski 11.5 -130 12.2
Moses Moody 11.5 -125 11.2
Al Horford 7.5 -118 7.0

Pistons Recent Trends

  • The Pistons are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
  • Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 221.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.6 less than the 224.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Pistons are 24-21-1 against the spread this year.
  • Detroit has always covered the spread this season when underdogs by 2.5 points or more in three chances.
  • Pistons games this season have gone over the total in 20 of 46 opportunities (43.5%).
  • The Pistons put up only 3.2 more points per game (116.8) than the Warriors allow their opponents to score (113.6).
  • When it scores more than 113.6 points, Detroit is 19-7-1 against the spread and 24-3 overall.
  • The Pistons are shooting 47.8% from the field, 0.8% higher than the 47% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
  • This year, the Pistons are 13-11-0 at home against the spread (.542 winning percentage). On the road, they are 11-10-1 ATS (.500).
  • Detroit's games have finished above the over/under 41.7% of the time at home (10 of 24), and 45.5% of the time away (10 of 22).
  • The Pistons' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .789 (15-4), and on the road it is .611 (11-7).

Pistons Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.8 11
Points Allowed 110.1 3
Rebounds 45.7 7
Assists 26.6 12
Steals 10.5 1
Blocks 6.5 1

Pistons Leaders

  • Cade Cunningham is putting up 25.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game. He's also sinking 45.4% of his shots from the field and 32.2% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per contest.
  • Jalen Duren is averaging 17.9 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He's making 63.8% of his shots from the field (sixth in NBA).
  • The Pistons are getting 10.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Ausar Thompson this year.
  • Isaiah Stewart is averaging 10.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He is draining 53.3% of his shots from the floor.
  • Duncan Robinson is averaging 11.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is making 43.1% of his shots from the floor and 39% from 3-point range, with 2.8 triples per contest.

Pistons Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Cade Cunningham 23.5 -112 25.3
Jalen Duren 17.5 -112 17.9
Tobias Harris 12.5 -130 13.6
Ausar Thompson 9.5 -104 10.7
Duncan Robinson 9.5 +100 11.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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