Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 30

Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 30

Updated Jan. 30, 2026 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Detroit Pistons (34-12) take on the Golden State Warriors (27-22) on January 30, 2026 at Chase Center. Friday's matchup between the Warriors and the Pistons features the Warriors as modest 2.5-point favorites. A 224.5-point total is set for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Pistons game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Pistons Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, January 30, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and FDSDET
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Pistons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -2.5 -110 -110 224.5 -110 -110 -142 +120

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Warriors vs. Pistons Prediction

ATS Pick: Pistons (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 115 - Pistons 114

Warriors vs. Pistons Betting Insights

  • This season, the Warriors games have finished over 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 33 (out of 49) times.
  • This year, 23 of the Pistons' 46 total matchups have gone over 224.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average 233.3 points per game combined, 8.8 more than the total of 224.5.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 223.7 points per game, 0.8 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
  • Golden State has been the favorite in 36 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (61.1%) in those contests.
  • Detroit has come away with eight wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Golden State holds a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head matchups against Detroit.
  • Both the Warriors and the Pistons are 0-0-2 against the spread in those outings.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
  • Golden State has averaged a total of 233.0 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.5 greater than this matchup's over/under of 224.5.
  • The Warriors have played 49 games, with 23 wins against the spread.
  • This season, Golden State has an against the spread record of 15-17-1 in its 33 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
  • Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 60.9% of the time (28 out of 46 games with a set point total).
  • The 116.5 points per game the Warriors score are 6.4 more points than the Pistons allow (110.1).
  • Golden State is 19-14-1 against the spread and 23-11 overall when scoring more than 110.1 points.
  • This season, the Warriors have a 46.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.8% higher than the 44.3% of shots the Pistons' opponents have made.
  • The Warriors sport a better record against the spread in home games (13-10-1) than they do in away games (10-15-0).
  • Golden State has hit the over on the total in 14 of 24 home games (58.3%), compared to 14 of 25 road games (56%).
  • The Warriors have performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 16-5, compared to going 6-9 away from home.

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.5 12
Points Allowed 113.6 10
Rebounds 42.9 23
Assists 28.9 6
Steals 10.0 3
Blocks 4.5 21

Warriors Leaders

  • Stephen Curry averages 27.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocks.
  • Brandin Podziemski averages 12.2 points, 4.6 boards and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Draymond Green posts 8.3 points, 5.7 boards and 5.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Moses Moody averages 11.2 points, 1.5 assists and 3.2 rebounds.
  • Quinten Post averages 8.0 points, 1.3 assists and 4.0 boards.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 28.5 -122 27.3
De'Anthony Melton 12.5 -110 11.4
Brandin Podziemski 11.5 -136 12.2
Moses Moody 11.5 -128 11.2
Al Horford 7.5 -114 7.0

Pistons Recent Trends

  • The Pistons are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 221.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.6 less than the 224.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Pistons' 46 games this year, they have 24 wins against the spread.
  • Detroit has been underdogs by 2.5 points or more three times this year and are 3-0 ATS in those games.
  • Pistons games this season have hit the over on 20 of 46 set point totals (43.5%).
  • The Pistons score an average of 116.8 points per game, just 3.2 more points than the 113.6 the Warriors give up to opponents.
  • Detroit has put together a 19-7-1 ATS record and a 24-3 overall record in games it scores more than 113.6 points.
  • The Pistons have shot at a 47.8% rate from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points above the 47.0% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
  • This year, the Pistons are 13-11-0 at home against the spread (.542 winning percentage). On the road, they are 11-10-1 ATS (.500).
  • Looking at the over/under, Detroit's games have gone over 10 of 24 times at home (41.7%), and 10 of 22 away (45.5%).
  • The Pistons' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .789 (15-4), and away it is .611 (11-7).

Pistons Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.8 11
Points Allowed 110.1 3
Rebounds 45.7 7
Assists 26.6 12
Steals 10.5 1
Blocks 6.5 1

Pistons Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Cade Cunningham gets the Pistons 25.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and 9.7 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals (10th in NBA) and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • On a per-game basis, Jalen Duren gives the Pistons 17.9 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
  • The Pistons are getting 10.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Ausar Thompson this season.
  • Isaiah Stewart is averaging 10.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He is draining 53.3% of his shots from the floor.
  • The Pistons are getting 11.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Duncan Robinson this season.

Pistons Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Cade Cunningham 22.5 -114 25.3
Jalen Duren 17.5 -112 17.9
Tobias Harris 12.5 -114 13.6
Ausar Thompson 9.5 -104 10.7
Duncan Robinson 9.5 +100 11.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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