Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 28

Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 28

Updated Jan. 28, 2026 9:24 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

Two of the league's top scorers -- Stephen Curry (10th, 27.3 points per game) and Lauri Markkanen (ninth, 27.7) -- face off when the Golden State Warriors (26-22) visit the Utah Jazz (15-32) on January 28, 2026 on KJZZ, Jazz+, and NBCS-BA. Wednesday's matchup between the Warriors and the Jazz features the Warriors as strong 8.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 241.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
  • TV: KJZZ, Jazz+, and NBCS-BA
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Jazz Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -8.5 -108 -112 241.5 -106 -114 -319 +260

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Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction

ATS Pick: Jazz (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Under (241.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 122 - Jazz 115

Warriors vs. Jazz Betting Insights

  • This season, the Warriors games have gone over 241.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 14 (out of 48) times.
  • This year, 27 of the Jazz's 47 total matchups have gone over 241.5 total points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 6.8 fewer points per game (234.7) than this game's over/under of 241.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.6 fewer points per game (240.9) than this matchup's over/under of 241.5 points.
  • Golden State has come away with 21 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Utah has been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (27.9%) in those games.
  • Golden State has come out on top in both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Utah.
  • Both the Warriors and the Jazz have 1-1 records against the spread in those contests.
  • Versus the spread, the Jazz have failed to cover for three games in a row, and were favored in zero of those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 9.6 points fewer than the 241.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • The Warriors have 22 wins against the spread in 48 games this season.
  • So far this season, Golden State has been installed as favorites by an 8.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 6-4-1 ATS in those matchups.
  • The Warriors have hit the over in 57.4% of their opportunities this year (27 times in 47 games with a set point total).
  • The 116 points per game the Warriors score are 11.5 fewer points than the Jazz allow (127.5).
  • Golden State has a 6-2 record against the spread and a 7-1 record overall when putting up more than 127.5 points.
  • The Warriors are shooting 46% from the field this season, 3.2 percentage points lower than the 49.2% the Jazz allow to opponents.
  • In home games, the Warriors sport a better record against the spread (13-10-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (9-15-0).
  • Golden State has gone over the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 14 of 24 home matchups (58.3%). In road games, it has hit the over in 13 of 24 games (54.2%).
  • When playing at home, the Warriors have won more often as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 16-5 (.762). When playing on the road, they are 5-9 (.357) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116 17
Points Allowed 113.4 10
Rebounds 42.9 23
Assists 28.6 6
Steals 9.9 3
Blocks 4.5 21

Warriors Leaders

  • Curry posts 27.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
  • Brandin Podziemski averages 12.2 points, 4.5 boards and 3.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
  • Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 5.2 assists and 5.7 boards per game.
  • Moses Moody averages 10.8 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 42.8% from the floor and 39.7% from downtown with 2.3 made treys per contest.
  • Quinten Post averages 8 points, 1.3 assists and 4 rebounds.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 29.5 -128 27.3
Brandin Podziemski 14.5 -114 12.2
Moses Moody 12.5 -136 10.8
De'Anthony Melton 12.5 -125 11.3
Draymond Green 8.5 -132 8.5

Jazz Recent Trends

  • The Jazz are 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Utah has averaged a total of 240.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.9 fewer than this game's total of 241.5.
  • The Jazz have 25 wins against the spread in 47 games this season.
  • Utah has an against the spread record of 12-13 in its 25 games as an underdog of 8.5 points or more this season.
  • The Jazz have eclipsed the over/under 61.7% of the time this year (29 of 47 games with a set point total).
  • The Jazz's 118.7 points per game are 5.3 more points than the 113.4 the Warriors give up.
  • Utah has put together a 20-9 ATS record and a 14-15 overall record in games it scores more than 113.4 points.
  • The Jazz's 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Warriors have given up to their opponents.
  • The Jazz have performed better against the spread at home (15-10-0) than away (10-12-0) this season.
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Utah's games have finished above the over/under at home (72%, 18 of 25) than on the road (50%, 11 of 22).
  • In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 2-0 record) than on the road (.500, 1-1).

Jazz Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 118.7 6
Points Allowed 127.5 30
Rebounds 43.9 16
Assists 30.3 2
Steals 7.7 21
Blocks 3.5 30

Jazz Leaders

  • Markkanen is averaging 27.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He's also draining 48% of his shots from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 triples per game.
  • On a per-game basis, Jusuf Nurkic gets the Jazz 11.2 points, 10.2 rebounds and 5 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • Kyle Filipowski is putting up 9.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. He is making 46.9% of his shots from the floor.
  • The Jazz are receiving 9.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game from Isaiah Collier this season.
  • Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 11.8 points, 3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.2% of his shots from the floor and 33% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.

Jazz Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Keyonte George 23.5 -125 24.2
Lauri Markkanen 23.5 -112 27.7
Jusuf Nurkic 13.5 -122 11.2
Ace Bailey 12.5 -108 11.1
Cody Williams 7.5 -102 5.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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