Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 15

The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-4) bring a four-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Denver Nuggets (9-2), winners of six straight. Saturday's game between the Timberwolves and the Nuggets features the Timberwolves as 3-point favorites. A 234.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: FDSN, ALT, and KTVD
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 3)
O/U Pick: Over (234.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 120 - Timberwolves 116

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• Timberwolves games have finished over 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, four times (out of 12) this year.
• This year, five of the Nuggets' 11 games have had a combined total higher than 234.5 points scored.
• The Timberwolves and the Nuggets combine to average 11.4 more points per game than the total of 234.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 226.5 points per game, 8.0 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• Minnesota has come away with eight wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Denver was defeated in the one game it played as the underdog this season.
• Denver has won its lone head-to-head matchup against Minnesota.
• The Nuggets also have a 1-0 record against the spread when facing the Timberwolves.
• The Nuggets have been favored in each of their previous five contests, and covered the spread in all five.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 5-7-0 this year.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by a 3-point margin or more nine times and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 11 opportunities (72.7%).
• The 121.4 points per game the Timberwolves record are 10.2 more points than the Nuggets give up (111.2).
• When Minnesota puts up more than 111.2 points, it is 5-6 against the spread and 8-3 overall.
• The Timberwolves make 50.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 5.7 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (44.6%).
• The Timberwolves have a worse record against the spread at home (2-3-0) than they do on the road (3-4-0).
• When it comes to over/unders, Minnesota hits the over less consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total three times in five opportunities this season (60%). In road games, it has hit the over five times in seven opportunities (71.4%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 3-1 (.750). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 5-1 (.833).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle puts up 25.4 points, 6.1 assists and 7.5 boards per contest.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 17.9 points, 2.3 assists and 4.6 boards per game.
• Rudy Gobert averages 10.9 points, 9.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 76.7% from the field (second in league).
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 14.3 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 38.9% from downtown with 3.1 made treys per game.
• Anthony Edwards puts up 27.5 points, 4.1 boards and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 49.7% from the floor and 46.2% from downtown with 3.8 made treys per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 8-3-0 against the spread this season.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in six of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• The Nuggets average 9.2 more points per game (124.5) than the Timberwolves allow their opponents to score (115.3).
• When it scores more than 115.3 points, Denver is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
• The Nuggets are shooting 50.9% from the field, 5.4% higher than the 45.5% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• The Nuggets have been better against the spread at home (5-1-0) than away (3-2-0) this season.
• Denver's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (three times out of six) than on the road (three of five) this year.
• In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Nuggets have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 6-0 record) than away (.750, 3-1).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points, 13.1 rebounds and 10.9 assists per game. He's also draining 68.4% of his shots from the field (fifth in league) and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per contest.
• Jamal Murray is putting up 22.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest. He's sinking 46.5% of his shots from the field and 35.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per game.
• Aaron Gordon is putting up 19.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is draining 53.3% of his shots from the floor and 45.1% from 3-point range, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Jonas Valanciunas is putting up 8.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. He is draining 55.1% of his shots from the field.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Nuggets 11.0 points, 1.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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