Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 17

The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-5) play the Dallas Mavericks (4-10) on November 17, 2025 on FDSN and KFAA. The Timberwolves are currently substantial 14.5-point favorites over the Mavericks. The matchup has a point total of 230.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, November 17, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: FDSN and KFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (230.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 123 - Mavericks 109

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Out of 13 games so far this year, the Timberwolves have played 11 with over 230.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• Five of the Mavericks' 14 games this season have had more than 230.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 1.5 more points per game, 232, than this matchup's over/under of 230.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 232.8 points per game, 2.3 more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Minnesota has won eight of the 10 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in nine games this year and has walked away with the win two times (22.2%) in those games.
• Minnesota has come out on top in two of its last three head-to-head meetings with Dallas.
• The Mavericks have a 2-1 record against the spread when taking on the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• In the Timberwolves' 13 games this season, they have five wins against the spread.
• The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under in 57.1% of their opportunities this year (eight times over 14 games with a set point total).
• The 120.7 points per game the Timberwolves average are only 3.7 more points than the Mavericks give up (117.0).
• Minnesota has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 7-0 record overall when scoring more than 117.0 points.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 50.0% shooting percentage from the field, which is 4.4% higher than the 45.6% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered two times in six games when playing at home, and they've covered three times in seven games on the road.
• Minnesota has eclipsed the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in three of six home matchups (50%). On the road, it has hit the over in five of seven games (71.4%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 3-1 (.750). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 5-1 (.833).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle puts up 25.5 points, 7.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 54.0% from the floor and 39.1% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jaden McDaniels posts 17.7 points, 2.3 assists and 4.5 boards per game.
• Anthony Edwards posts 27.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert averages 10.4 points, 1.3 assists and 9.6 boards.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 14.1 points, 3.5 assists and 3.8 boards.

Timberwolves Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• In the Mavericks' 14 games this year, they have six wins against the spread.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over on six of 14 set point totals (42.9%).
• The Mavericks score an average of 111.3 points per game, just 4.5 fewer points than the 115.8 the Timberwolves give up to opponents.
• Dallas has put together a 2-1 ATS record and a 2-1 overall record in games it scores more than 115.8 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 45.2% from the field, 0.4% lower than the 45.6% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Mavericks are 4-6-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, they are 2-2-0 ATS (.500).
• Dallas' games have gone above the over/under 50% of the time at home (five of 10), and 25% of the time on the road (one of four).
• The Mavericks, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (1-0) this season.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg generates 15.6 points, 6.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are getting 15.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from P.J. Washington this year.
• Naji Marshall is averaging 11.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. He is making 47.2% of his shots from the floor.
• Max Christie is putting up 12.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. He is draining 47.7% of his shots from the floor and 45.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 treys per contest.
• D'Angelo Russell gets the Mavericks 12.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Minnesota Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks