Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 10

Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 10

Updated Dec. 10, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder (23-1) welcome in the Phoenix Suns (14-10) after winning 11 straight home games. Oklahoma City is a substantial 14.5-point favorite against Phoenix when the Thunder play the Suns on Wednesday. The point total for the game is 224.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Suns game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Suns Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Suns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -14.5 -110 -110 224.5 -106 -114 -1205 +750

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Thunder vs. Suns Prediction

ATS Pick: Suns (+ 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Suns 109

Thunder vs. Suns Betting Insights

  • The Thunder have played 15 games with more than 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
  • The Suns have played in 15 games this year (62.5% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 224.5 points.
  • These teams average 238.9 points per game combined, 14.4 more than the over/under of 224.5.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 220.4 points per game, 4.1 fewer than the point total for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 23 times (95.8%) in those contests.
  • Phoenix has come away with six wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Oklahoma City has taken its lone head-to-head meeting with Phoenix.
  • The Suns have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when taking on the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have covered for three straight games against the spread, and they were favored in all of those contests.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have gone 10-0 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.3 points over its last 10 games, 4.8 more than the 224.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Thunder are 13-11-0 against the spread this year.
  • Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 4-4 in its eight games as a favorite of 14.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over 13 times in 24 opportunities (54.2%).
  • The Thunder average 9.5 more points per game (123.0) than the Suns give up (113.5).
  • When Oklahoma City totals more than 113.5 points, it is 13-6 against the spread and 18-1 overall.
  • The Thunder make 49.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the Suns have allowed to their opponents (47.6%).
  • At home, the Thunder have a better record against the spread (6-5-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-6-0).
  • Oklahoma City has exceeded the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in six of 11 home matchups (54.5%). On the road, it has hit the over in seven of 13 games (53.8%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have picked up the win in 11 of 11 games when playing at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. They have won 12 of 13 games on the road (.923) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 123.0 2
Points Allowed 106.9 1
Rebounds 44.7 13
Assists 26.5 12
Steals 10.0 2
Blocks 5.3 9

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Chet Holmgren posts 18.6 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 57.5% from the floor (10th in league) and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made treys per contest.
  • Ajay Mitchell posts 14.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 46.4% from the field and 34.2% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Cason Wallace posts 8.4 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 37.9% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Jaylin Williams puts up 5.6 points, 4.7 boards and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -104 32.8
Jalen Williams 18.5 -118 17.8
Chet Holmgren 17.5 -125 18.6
Ajay Mitchell 10.5 -128 14.4
Aaron Wiggins 9.5 -106 13.8

Suns Recent Trends

  • The Suns are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Phoenix and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 4.4 more than the 224.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Suns are 15-7-2 this season.
  • Phoenix has been underdogs by 14.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
  • Suns games this season have hit the over on 11 of 24 set point totals (45.8%).
  • The Suns average 9.0 more points per game (115.9) than the Thunder give up (106.9).
  • Phoenix has put together a 15-4-2 ATS record and a 14-7 overall record in games it scores more than 106.9 points.
  • The Suns' 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.9 percentage points higher than the Thunder have given up to their opponents (42.8%).
  • The Suns have been better against the spread at home (8-3-1) than on the road (7-4-1) this year.
  • In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Phoenix's games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, four of 12) than on the road (58.3%, seven of 12).
  • The Suns' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .857 (6-1), and away it is 1.000 (2-0).

Suns Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.9 18
Points Allowed 113.5 8
Rebounds 42.5 21
Assists 25.4 20
Steals 10.8 1
Blocks 4.0 25

Suns Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Devin Booker gets the Suns 25.0 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.7 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • The Suns are receiving 13.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Collin Gillespie this season.
  • The Suns are receiving 13.2 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Mark Williams this year.
  • Royce O'Neale gives the Suns 10.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game while putting up 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • The Suns are getting 22.1 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Dillon Brooks this year.

Suns Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Devin Booker 21.5 +104 25.0
Dillon Brooks 18.5 +102 22.1
Grayson Allen 14.5 -120 16.9
Collin Gillespie 13.5 +102 13.6
Mark Williams 10.5 -102 13.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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