Suns vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

The Phoenix Suns (27-18) will host the Miami Heat (24-22) after winning six home games in a row. The Suns are currently 4.5-point favorites against the Heat. The over/under for the game is 225.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Suns-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Suns vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: PHX Arena in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: FDSSUN, AZFamily, and Suns+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Suns vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Suns (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (225.5)
Score Prediction: Suns 119 - Heat 113

Suns vs. Heat Betting Insights

• This year, the Suns games have gone over 225.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 24 (out of 45) times.
• The Heat games have gone over 225.5 total points scored in 34 of 46 total matchups this year.
• The two teams average a combined 8.8 more points per game, 234.3, than this game's over/under of 225.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 230.2 points per game, 4.7 more than the over/under for this game.
• Phoenix has been chosen as the favorite in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (90%) in those games.
• Miami has been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (42.3%) in those games.
• Miami has won its one head-to-head matchup against Phoenix.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking the court against the Suns.

Suns Recent Trends

• The Suns have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Phoenix has averaged a total of 225.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.3 greater than this matchup's over/under of 225.5.
• The Suns have 30 wins against the spread in 45 games this season.
• Phoenix has an ATS record of 8-1 in its nine games when favored by 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Suns have hit the over in 41.3% of their opportunities this year (19 times over 46 games with a set point total).
• The 114.4 points per game the Suns put up are just 4.0 fewer points than the Heat give up (118.4).
• When Phoenix scores more than 118.4 points, it is 10-4-1 against the spread and 11-4 overall.
• This season, the Suns have a 46.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.3% lower than the 46.4% of shots the Heat's opponents have knocked down.
• The Suns have done a better job covering the spread in home games (14-4-1) than they have in road affairs (16-9-1).
• Phoenix has eclipsed the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in six of 19 home matchups (31.6%). In road games, it has hit the over in 13 of 26 games (50%).
• The Suns, as a moneyline favorite, have an identical winning percentage in home games (9-1 record) and on the road (9-1 record).

Suns Recent Stats

Suns Leaders

• Collin Gillespie averages 13.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Dillon Brooks puts up 20.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Mark Williams posts 12.0 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game, shooting 65.2% from the field (third in league).
• Royce O'Neale averages 10.3 points, 5.0 boards and 2.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Jordan Goodwin averages 8.8 points, 2.3 assists and 4.6 rebounds.

Suns Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 11.4 more than the 225.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Heat have 26 wins against the spread in 46 games this season.
• Miami has been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 15 times this season and are 8-6-1 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this year have gone over the point total 25 times in 46 opportunities (54.3%).
• The Heat score 8.1 more points per game (119.9) than the Suns give up (111.8).
• Miami has put together a 23-9 ATS record and a 20-12 overall record in games it scores more than 111.8 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.4% from the field, 0.4% lower than the 46.8% the Suns' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Heat have a better winning percentage at home (.591, 13-9-0 record) than on the road (.542, 13-10-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami's games have gone over less frequently at home (11 of 22, 50%) than on the road (14 of 24, 58.3%).
• This season the Heat are 10-5 at home when moneyline favorites (.667 winning percentage). Away they are 3-2 (.600).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.8 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He's also draining 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• The Heat are receiving 23.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Norman Powell this season.
• The Heat are receiving 15.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this season.
• Kel'el Ware gets the Heat 11.6 points, 9.8 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game while putting up 0.9 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is putting up 15.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. He is draining 51.4% of his shots from the field.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.