Rockets vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 21

The Houston Rockets (10-3) will be attempting to build on a five-game home winning streak when squaring off against the Denver Nuggets (11-3) on November 21, 2025 at Toyota Center. Friday's game between the Rockets and the Nuggets features the Rockets as 2.5-point favorites. A 234.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (234.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 121 - Nuggets 116

Rockets vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• Rockets games have finished over 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, six times (out of 13) this year.
• Eight of the Nuggets' 14 games this season have had more than 234.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 14 more points per game (248.5) than this game's total of 234.5 points.
• The Rockets and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 8.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 234.5 set in this game.
• Houston has been the favorite in 12 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Denver was defeated in the one game it played as the underdog this season.
• Denver has taken two of its last three head-to-head matchups against Houston.
• The Nuggets also have a 2-1 record against the spread when taking on the Rockets.

Rockets Recent Trends

• In the Rockets' 13 games this year, they have nine wins against the spread.
• Houston has been favored by 2.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those games.
• The Rockets have hit the over in 71.4% of their opportunities this year (10 times in 14 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets record 123.9 points per game, 10.8 more points than the 113.1 the Nuggets give up.
• Houston is 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall when scoring more than 113.1 points.
• This season, the Rockets have a 48.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.8% higher than the 45% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• The Rockets have a worse record against the spread when playing at home (3-3-0) than they do on the road (6-1-0).
• At home, Houston goes over the total 66.7% of the time (four of six games). It hits the over more consistently in away games, eclipsing the total in 85.7% of games (six of seven).
• In six home games as a moneyline favorite, the Rockets have five wins (.833). They have an identical winning percentage (5-1 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 23.4 points, 7.4 assists and 10.4 rebounds per contest.
• Kevin Durant puts up 25.5 points, 3.4 assists and 4.5 boards per game.
• Amen Thompson posts 16.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Jabari Smith Jr. averages 14.4 points, 1.7 assists and 6.6 boards.
• Reed Sheppard averages 12.5 points, 3 assists and 2.6 boards.

Rockets Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 9-5-0 against the spread this year.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total eight times in 14 opportunities (57.1%).
• The Nuggets' 124.6 points per game are 12.1 more points than the 112.5 the Rockets allow.
• Denver has put together a 9-4 ATS record and an 11-2 overall record in games it scores more than 112.5 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 50.6% from the field, 5.3% higher than the 45.3% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
• The Nuggets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .714 (5-2-0). On the road, it is .571 (4-3-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Denver's games have gone over 57.1% of the time this year, both at home (four of seven) and on the road (four of seven).
• This season the Nuggets are 6-1 at home when moneyline favorites (.857 winning percentage). On the road they are 5-1 (.833).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Nikola Jokic gives the Nuggets 29.1 points, 13.2 rebounds and 11.1 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Jamal Murray gives the Nuggets 22.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Aaron Gordon gives the Nuggets 20.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Nuggets are getting 8.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Peyton Watson this season.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Nuggets 11.1 points, 1.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.