Pistons vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 18

The Detroit Pistons (21-5) aim to build on a four-game winning run when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (10-17) on December 18, 2025 at American Airlines Center. The Pistons are currently 5.5-point favorites over the Mavericks. The point total for the matchup is 229.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Pistons-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pistons vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 18, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: FDSDET, KFAA, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pistons vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Pistons 118 - Mavericks 113

Pistons vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Pistons games have gone over 229.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 15 times (out of 26) this season.
• The Mavericks have played in 13 games this year (48.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 229.5 points.
• Between them, these two teams average 2.7 more points per game (232.2) than this game's total (229.5).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.3 more points per game, 229.8, than this game's total of 229.5 points.
• Detroit has won 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (33.3%) in those games.
• Detroit holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups against Dallas.
• The Pistons also have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Mavericks.

Pistons Recent Trends

• The Pistons are 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Detroit has averaged a total of 232.3 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.8 greater than this game's over/under of 229.5.
• In the Pistons' 26 games this season, they have 15 wins against the spread.
• This season, Detroit has an against the spread record of 6-5 in its 11 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• Pistons games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 27 opportunities (51.9%).
• The 119.3 points per game the Pistons put up are just 2.5 more points than the Mavericks allow (116.8).
• Detroit is 10-4 against the spread and 14-0 overall when scoring more than 116.8 points.
• The Pistons make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.3%).
• In home games, the Pistons have a worse record against the spread (8-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (7-5-0).
• Detroit has eclipsed the total more often at home, hitting the over in nine of 14 home matchups (64.3%). On the road, it has hit the over in five of 12 games (41.7%).
• The Pistons have fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 9-1, compared to going 6-3 in road games.

Pistons Recent Stats

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham posts 27.1 points, 9.2 assists and 6 boards per game.
• Jalen Duren posts 18 points, 1.7 assists and 11 rebounds per game.
• Ausar Thompson averages 11.6 points, 6 boards and 2.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Isaiah Stewart averages 10.2 points, 6 boards and 1.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.2 steals and 1.9 blocks (second in NBA).
• Duncan Robinson posts 12.3 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Pistons Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread in that span.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 1.9 points greater than the 229.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have played 27 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• Dallas has been underdogs by 5.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the point total 48.1% of the time (13 out of 27 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks average just 0.1 fewer points per game (112.9) than the Pistons give up (113).
• When it scores more than 113 points, Dallas is 7-5-1 against the spread and 8-5 overall.
• The Mavericks' 46.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.4 percentage points higher than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (44.7%).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-8-1). Away, it is .455 (5-6-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Dallas' games have finished above the over/under at home (43.8%, seven of 16) compared to on the road (54.5%, six of 11).
• The Mavericks, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (3-4) than away (1-1) this year.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gets the Mavericks 18.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• P.J. Washington is putting up 16.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He's making 44.3% of his shots from the field and 33% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per contest.
• Naji Marshall gets the Mavericks 12.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Max Christie gets the Mavericks 11.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2 assists per game while posting 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams gets the Mavericks 10.8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest while posting 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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