Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 27

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 27

Updated Feb. 27, 2026 3:22 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Detroit Pistons (43-14) are home in Central Division play versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (37-23) on February 27, 2026. It's the third matchup between these teams this year. The Pistons are currently 5.5-point favorites against the Cavaliers. The matchup's over/under is 227.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Pistons-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
  • TV: ESPN, FDSDET, and FDSOH
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Pistons vs Cavaliers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Pistons -5.5 -110 -110 227.5 -106 -114 -235 +194

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Pistons (- 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Pistons 118 - Cavaliers 112

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

  • The Pistons have played 27 games with more than 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
  • The Cavaliers have played in 41 games this season (68.3% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 227.5 points.
  • These two teams average a combined 236.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than the over/under of 227.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.6 points per game, 2.9 fewer than the point total in this game.
  • Detroit has been the favorite in 45 games this season and has come away with the win 32 times (71.1%) in those contests.
  • Cleveland has been victorious in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • After the last two head-to-head meetings, Detroit and Cleveland have a tied 1-1 record.
  • The two squads are both 1-1 against the spread in those outings.

Pistons Recent Trends

  • The Pistons are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Detroit has averaged a total of 224.0 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.5 less than this game's over/under of 227.5.
  • The Pistons have played 57 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
  • Detroit is 15-11-1 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
  • Pistons games this year have eclipsed the over/under 43.3% of the time (26 out of 60 games with a set point total).
  • The 117.4 points per game the Pistons put up are only 2.3 more points than the Cavaliers give up (115.1).
  • Detroit is 19-8-1 against the spread and 26-2 overall when scoring more than 115.1 points.
  • This season, the Pistons have a 47.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.8% higher than the 46.1% of shots the Cavaliers' opponents have knocked down.
  • At home, the Pistons sport a worse record against the spread (15-15-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (16-10-1).
  • In home games, Detroit exceeds the over/under 43.3% of the time (13 of 30 games). It hits the over more often in road games, exceeding the total in 48.1% of games (13 of 27).
  • The Pistons have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 19-6, compared to going 13-7 in road games.

Pistons Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 117.4 8
Points Allowed 109.5 4
Rebounds 46.0 5
Assists 26.8 12
Steals 10.5 1
Blocks 6.4 1

Pistons Leaders

  • Cade Cunningham averages 25.4 points, 5.7 boards and 9.8 assists per game, shooting 45.9% from the field and 33.9% from downtown with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Jalen Duren averages 18.2 points, 10.6 boards and 1.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Ausar Thompson posts 10.2 points, 2.9 assists and 5.8 boards per game.
  • Duncan Robinson puts up 12.4 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • Tobias Harris averages 13.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Pistons Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Cade Cunningham 24.5 -130 25.4
Jalen Duren 17.5 -125 18.2
Tobias Harris 13.5 -102 13.0
Duncan Robinson 11.5 -104 12.4
Ausar Thompson 8.5 -130 10.2

Cavaliers Recent Trends

  • The Cavaliers have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • Cleveland has averaged a total of 229.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.4 greater than this matchup's total of 227.5.
  • The Cavaliers have 26 wins against the spread in 60 games this season.
  • Cleveland has covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more (in three chances).
  • Cavaliers games this year have gone over the total in 29 of 60 opportunities (48.3%).
  • The Cavaliers average 10.0 more points per game (119.5) than the Pistons give up to opponents (109.5).
  • Cleveland is 24-26 against the spread and 34-16 overall when it scores more than 109.5 points.
  • The Cavaliers have shot at a 47.7% rate from the field this season, 3.7 percentage points above the 44.0% shooting opponents of the Pistons have averaged.
  • The Cavaliers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .419 (13-18-0). Away, it is .448 (13-16-0).
  • Cleveland's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (12 times out of 31) than away (17 of 29) this year.
  • This year the Cavaliers are 20-9 at home when moneyline favorites (.690 winning percentage). Away they are 11-8 (.579).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.5 3
Points Allowed 115.1 15
Rebounds 44.7 9
Assists 28.4 8
Steals 9.0 8
Blocks 5.1 11

Cavaliers Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, James Harden gives the Cavaliers 24.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 8.1 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Evan Mobley is putting up 17.5 points, 8.6 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. He's making 51.4% of his shots from the field and 30.5% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per game.
  • Jarrett Allen gets the Cavaliers 15.1 points, 8.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest while delivering 1.0 steal and 0.9 blocked shots.
  • Jaylon Tyson gets the Cavaliers 13.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while delivering 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Dennis Schroder is averaging 12.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. He is draining 40.4% of his shots from the field and 33.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per game.

Cavaliers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
James Harden 21.5 -110 24.5
Jarrett Allen 15.5 -112 15.1
Evan Mobley 14.5 -122 17.5
Jaylon Tyson 12.5 -130 13.5
Sam Merrill 11.5 -130 13.0

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share