Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 23

The Dallas Mavericks (11-19) will host the Denver Nuggets (21-7) after winning four home games in a row. The Nuggets square off with the Mavericks in a game that Denver is currently a favorite by 6 points. The game's over/under is 236.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 6)
O/U Pick: Under (236.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Mavericks 114

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have finished over 236.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 18 times (out of 28) this season.
• The Mavericks have played in eight games this year (26.7% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 236.5 points.
• The Nuggets and the Mavericks combine to average 1.6 more points per game than the total of 236.5 set for this game.
• The Nuggets and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 3.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 236.5 set for this outing.
• Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win 19 times (79.2%) in those games.
• Dallas has been victorious in seven, or 35%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Dallas has come out on top in its one head-to-head meeting with Denver.
• The Mavericks also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Nuggets.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Denver has averaged a total of 238.0 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.5 greater than this matchup's over/under of 236.5.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 17-11-0 this season.
• Denver has an ATS record of 12-7 in its 19 games when favored by 6 points or more so far this season.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 18 of 30 set point totals.
• The 125.1 points per game the Nuggets average are 8.2 more points than the Mavericks give up (116.9).
• When Denver totals more than 116.9 points, it is 16-8 against the spread and 19-5 overall.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 51.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.5% higher than the 45.8% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have hit.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have fared worse when playing at home, covering eight times in 14 home games, and nine times in 14 road games.
• Denver has exceeded the total in nine of 14 home games (64.3%). It has done the same in away games, topping the total in nine of 14 matchups (64.3%).
• The Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 8-4 (.667). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 11-1 (.917).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic puts up 28.9 points, 12.1 boards and 10.8 assists per contest, shooting 60.7% from the floor (eighth in league) and 42.5% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jamal Murray puts up 24.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest, shooting 49.6% from the field and 45.8% from beyond the arc (eighth in league) with 3.4 made treys per contest (sixth in NBA).
• Peyton Watson averages 10.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 51.5% from the field and 41.1% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Cameron Johnson averages 11.8 points, 2.3 assists and 3.6 rebounds.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 12.4 points, 2.1 boards and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Nuggets Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.8 less than the 236.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks have played 30 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 6-point margin or more 11 times and are 7-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over 50% of the time (15 out of 30 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks average just 3.0 fewer points per game (113.0) than the Nuggets allow their opponents to score (116.0).
• Dallas has put together a 5-4-1 ATS record and a 7-3 overall record in games it scores more than 116.0 points.
• The Mavericks' 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.471, 8-8-1 record) than on the road (.385, 5-8-0).
• Dallas' games have finished above the over/under 47.1% of the time at home (eight of 17), and 53.8% of the time away (seven of 13).
• When moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-4) than on the road (1-2).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He's also draining 47.8% of his shots from the field.
• P.J. Washington is averaging 15.7 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He's draining 45.5% of his shots from the field and 33.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• Naji Marshall is averaging 13.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is draining 54.5% of his shots from the field.
• Anthony Davis is averaging 21.0 points, 11.6 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 51.7% of his shots from the field.
• Brandon Williams gets the Mavericks 10.6 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game while averaging 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets