Mavericks vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 21

Mavericks vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 21

Updated Nov. 21, 2025 9:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New Orleans Pelicans (2-13) will be looking to halt a seven-game losing streak when hitting the road against the Dallas Mavericks (4-12) on November 21, 2025 at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are currently modest 3.5-point favorites against the Pelicans. The game has an over/under of 233.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Pelicans game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA, WFAA, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Mavericks vs Pelicans Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mavericks -3.5 -114 -106 233.5 -106 -114 -162 +136

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Under (233.5)
Score Prediction: Mavericks 117 - Pelicans 112

Mavericks vs. Pelicans Betting Insights

  • Out of 16 games thus far this season, the Mavericks have had four with over 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
  • This season, eight of the Pelicans' 15 total matchups have gone over 233.5 total points scored.
  • The Mavericks and the Pelicans combine to average 14.3 fewer points per game than the total of 233.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 239 points per game, 5.5 more than the over/under in this game.
  • Dallas has been chosen as the favorite in five games this year and has walked away with the win two times (40%) in those games.
  • New Orleans has been victorious in one, or 7.1%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • New Orleans has won its one head-to-head matchup against Dallas.
  • The Pelicans also have a 1-0 record against the spread when taking on the Mavericks.

Mavericks Recent Trends

  • The Mavericks have gone 2-8 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 4.2 points fewer than the 233.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Mavericks are 7-9-0 this season.
  • Dallas has covered the spread once this season when favored by 3.5 points or more (in four chances).
  • Mavericks games this year have hit the over on six of 15 set point totals.
  • The Mavericks record 110.3 points per game, 11.8 fewer points than the 122.1 the Pelicans give up.
  • When Dallas scores more than 122.1 points, it is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • This season, the Mavericks have a 44.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.9% lower than the 50.5% of shots the Pelicans' opponents have hit.
  • Against the spread, the Mavericks have played better at home, covering five times in 11 home games, and two times in five road games.
  • When playing at home, Dallas goes over the total 45.5% of the time (five of 11 games). It has hit the over in 20% of road games (one of five contests).
  • The Mavericks have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 1-3 (.250). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 1-0 (1.000).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 110.3 27
Points Allowed 116.9 17
Rebounds 45.4 10
Assists 23.9 27
Steals 8.4 18
Blocks 6.1 2

Mavericks Leaders

  • Cooper Flagg averages 15.5 points, 3.1 assists and 6.3 boards per contest.
  • P.J. Washington puts up 14.4 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 1 block.
  • Naji Marshall posts 11.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 47.7% from the floor.
  • Max Christie averages 12.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Brandon Williams averages 10.8 points, 3.3 assists and 2.6 rebounds.

Mavericks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Cooper Flagg 17.5 -104 15.5
P.J. Washington 16.5 -102 14.4
Brandon Williams 14.5 -122 10.8
D'Angelo Russell 12.5 -108 12.6
Max Christie 12.5 +102 12.3

Pelicans Recent Trends

  • The Pelicans have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their last 10 games.
  • New Orleans and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.4 less than the 233.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Pelicans have eight wins against the spread in 15 games this season.
  • New Orleans is 7-7 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
  • The Pelicans have gone over the point total 60% of the time this year (nine of 15 games with a set point total).
  • The Pelicans score eight fewer points per game (108.9) than the Mavericks give up to opponents (116.9).
  • When it scores more than 116.9 points, New Orleans is 4-1 against the spread and 0-5 overall.
  • The Pelicans are shooting 44.2% from the field, 1.3% lower than the 45.5% the Mavericks' opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, the Pelicans are 5-3-0 at home against the spread (.625 winning percentage). Away, they are 3-4-0 ATS (.429).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of New Orleans' games have finished above the over/under at home (62.5%, five of eight) than away (57.1%, four of seven).

Pelicans Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 108.9 30
Points Allowed 122.1 25
Rebounds 41.3 26
Assists 22.8 30
Steals 9.1 10
Blocks 3.1 30

Pelicans Leaders

  • Trey Murphy III is averaging 19.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest. He's also sinking 46.8% of his shots from the field and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per game.
  • On a per-game basis, Derik Queen gets the Pelicans 11.7 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
  • Jeremiah Fears gets the Pelicans 15.3 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest while averaging 1.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • The Pelicans are getting 11.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game from Saddiq Bey this year.
  • Herbert Jones gives the Pelicans 9.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest while posting 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Pelicans Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Zion Williamson 23.5 -104 21.3
Trey Murphy III 18.5 -102 19.9
Jeremiah Fears 14.5 -120 15.3
Derik Queen 13.5 -104 11.7
Herbert Jones 9.5 -102 9.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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