Heat vs. Hornets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 28

Southeast Division opponents face one another when the Miami Heat (2-1) welcome in the Charlotte Hornets (2-1) at Kaseya Center on October 28, 2025. It's the first matchup between the squads this year. The Heat square off against the Hornets in a game that Miami is currently a favorite by 5.5 points. The over/under for the game is 239.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Heat-Hornets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Hornets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 28, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Heat vs. Hornets Prediction

ATS Pick: Hornets (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 124 - Hornets 123

Heat vs. Hornets Betting Insights

• Heat games last season featured more combined points than this contest's total of 239.5 points 12 times.
• The Hornets played 11 games last season that finished with a combined score higher than 239.5 points.
• The two teams combined to score 215.7 points per contest last season, 23.8 fewer points than this game's point total.
• Combined, these teams allowed 224.2 points per contest last year, 15.3 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
• The Heat had an average point total of 218.8 in their outings last season, 20.7 fewer points than this game's over/under.
• The Hornets had a 222.2-point average over/under in their contests last year, 17.3 fewer points than this game's point total.

Heat Recent Trends

• Miami won 38 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover or pushing 44 times.
• Miami was 12-10-1 ATS last season when playing as at least a 5.5-point favorite.
• Miami's games hit the over 44 out of 82 times last season.
• Last year, the Heat averaged 110.6 points per game, only 3.6 fewer points than the 114.2 the Hornets gave up.
• When Miami scored more than 114.2 points last season, it went 20-10 against the spread and 21-9 overall.
• The Heat shot 46.5% from the field last season, 0.2 percentage points lower than the 46.7% the Hornets allowed to opponents.
• The Heat sported a better record against the spread when playing at home (21-19-1) than they did on the road (17-22-2) last season.
• Miami eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (61%) than road games (46.3%) last year.
• At home last year, the Heat won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, put up a record of 15-11 (.577). In away games, they were 12-9 (.571) as a moneyline favorite.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Per game, Bam Adebayo provided points, 9.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists last season. He also averaged 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Last season, Tyler Herro recorded an average of 23.9 points, 5.2 boards and 5.5 assists per game.
• Norman Powell averaged 21.8 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game, plus 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averaged 18.0 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He drained 44.8% of his shots from the field and 37.4% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• Kel'el Ware put up 9.3 points, 7.4 boards and 0.9 assists. He drained 55.4% of his shots from the field.

Heat Player Props

Hornets Recent Trends

• The Hornets put together a 36-41-5 ATS record last season.
• Charlotte had an ATS record of 24-25-3 as an underdog of 5.5 points or greater last year.
• The Hornets and their opponents combined to go over the point total 33 out of 82 times last season.
• The Hornets put up an average of 105.1 points per game last year, just 4.9 fewer points than the 110.0 the Heat gave up to opponents.
• Charlotte went 14-6-2 against the spread and 11-11 overall when it scored more than 110.0 points last season.
• The Hornets shot at a 43.0% rate from the field last season, 3.6 percentage points less than the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Heat averaged.
• Against the spread last year, the Hornets had an identical winning percentage (.439) at home (18-20-3 record) and away (18-21-2).
• In terms of the over/under, Charlotte's games finished over less often at home (13 of 41, 31.7%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%) last season.
• When moneyline favorites, the Hornets won a higher percentage of games at home (2-3) than away (1-2) last season.

Hornets Recent Stats

Hornets Leaders

• Miles Bridges put up 20.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game last season.
• LaMelo Ball averaged 7.4 assists per game while also scoring 25.2 points per contest.
• Ball knocked down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.8 per contest a season ago.
• Josh Green and Mason Plumlee were defensive standouts last season, with Green averaging 1.1 steals per game and Plumlee collecting 0.6 blocks per contest.

Hornets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Miami Heat

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