Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 21

The Boston Celtics (26-16) face the Indiana Pacers (10-34) on January 21, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSIN, NBCS-BOS, and WTHR-13. Boston is a sizable 11-point favorite against Indiana when the Celtics take the court against the Pacers on Wednesday. The matchup's over/under is 226.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Celtics-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: FDSIN, NBCS-BOS, and WTHR-13
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (- 11)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 122 - Pacers 106

Celtics vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• Celtics games have finished over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 22 times (out of 42) this year.
• This year, 22 of the Pacers' 44 games have had a combined total of more than 226.5 points scored.
• The Celtics and Pacers average 0.3 more points between them than the over/under of 226.5 for this game.
• The Celtics and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 1.8 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set for this game.
• Boston has been the favorite in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (67.9%) in those contests.
• Indiana has won in seven, or 18.9%, of the 37 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Boston has come out on top in two of its last three head-to-head meetings with Indiana.
• The Pacers have a 2-1 record against the spread when facing the Celtics.
• The Celtics covered the point spread in their previous three games, and were favored in two of them.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.6 points over its last 10 games, 2.1 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 42 games, with 24 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been favored by 11 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the total in 18 out of 44 opportunities (40.9%).
• The 116.7 points per game the Celtics average are just 1.6 fewer points than the Pacers give up (118.3).
• Boston has a 16-2 record against the spread and an 18-0 record overall when putting up more than 118.3 points.
• The Celtics make 47.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.1 percentage points lower than the Pacers have allowed to their opponents (48.3%).
• The Celtics have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 19 games when playing at home, and they've covered 15 times in 23 games on the road.
• Looking at point totals, Boston hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has exceeded the total nine times in 19 opportunities this season (47.4%). In away games, it has hit the over nine times in 23 opportunities (39.1%).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-5 (.643). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 10-4 (.714).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown posts 29.8 points, 4.7 assists and 6.6 boards per contest.
• Derrick White puts up 17.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 1.5 blocks (eighth in league).
• Payton Pritchard puts up 16.6 points, 4.4 boards and 5.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta averages 10.2 points, 1.4 assists and 8.2 rebounds.
• Anfernee Simons puts up 14 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 games.
• Indiana has averaged a total of 231.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.9 greater than this matchup's over/under of 226.5.
• The Pacers have played 44 games, with 22 wins against the spread.
• Indiana has an ATS record of 4-2 in its six games when underdogs by 11 points or more this season.
• The Pacers have hit the over 36.4% of the time this season (16 of 44 games with a set point total).
• The Pacers' 110.1 points per game are just 0.1 more points than the 110 the Celtics give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 110 points, Indiana is 14-9 against the spread and 8-15 overall.
• The Pacers have shot at a 44.3% clip from the field this season, 0.5 percentage points less than the 44.8% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• This season, the Pacers are 14-10-0 at home against the spread (.583 winning percentage). Away, they are 8-12-0 ATS (.400).
• Looking at the over/under, Indiana's games have gone over 10 of 24 times at home (41.7%), and six of 20 away (30%).
• This year the Pacers are 3-3 at home when moneyline favorites (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-1 (.000).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gives the Pacers 23.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 4 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17.6 points, 2.6 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game. He's sinking 44.9% of his shots from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.
• Jay Huff is putting up 8.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is sinking 47.2% of his shots from the field and 32.1% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per game.
• The Pacers are getting 9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jarace Walker this season.
• The Pacers are receiving 9.9 points, 2.2 rebounds and 5 assists per game from T.J. McConnell this season.

Pacers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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