Celtics vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 7

The Boston Celtics (23-12) look to build on a three-game home winning stretch when hosting the Denver Nuggets (24-12) on January 7, 2026. The Celtics are currently healthy 9-point favorites over the Nuggets. The over/under is 232.5 points for the game.

Here is everything you need to know about the Celtics-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: NBCS-BOS, ALT, KTVD, and ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 9)
O/U Pick: Over (232.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 120 - Nuggets 115

Celtics vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 232.5 points, the current matchup's total, in 13 of 35 games this year.
• The Nuggets have played in 27 games this season (75% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 232.5 points.
• The Celtics and the Nuggets combine to average 9.7 more points per game than the total of 232.5 set for this matchup.
• The Celtics and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 3.7 fewer points per game than the point total of 232.5 set in this matchup.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (69.6%) in those games.
• Denver has been an underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win four times (57.1%) in those contests.
• Boston has a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head meetings with Denver.
• The Celtics also have a 2-0 record against the spread when facing the Nuggets.
• Versus the point spread, the Celtics have covered in four games in a row, and were favored in three of those games.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span.
• Boston has averaged a total of 229.3 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.2 less than this game's total of 232.5.
• The Celtics are 21-13-1 against the spread this year.
• Boston has been favored by 9 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• Celtics games this year have hit the over on 16 of 36 set point totals.
• The 117.8 points per game the Celtics record are just 0.5 fewer points than the Nuggets allow (118.3).
• Boston is 14-1 against the spread and 15-0 overall when scoring more than 118.3 points.
• The Celtics make 47.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47.3%).
• The Celtics have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 16 games at home, and they've covered 12 times in 19 games when playing on the road.
• Boston has hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (50%) than games on the road (42.1%).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-4 (.667). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 8-3 (.727).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown averages 29.6 points, 4.9 assists and 6.3 rebounds per contest.
• Derrick White puts up 18.4 points, 4.3 boards and 5.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 1.5 blocks (ninth in NBA).
• Payton Pritchard averages 16.9 points, 4.5 boards and 5.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta posts 10.2 points, 7.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 66.1% from the floor (third in NBA).
• Anfernee Simons posts 13.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, shooting 43.3% from the floor and 39.6% from downtown with 2.6 made treys per contest.

Celtics Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 4.1 points greater than the 232.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Nuggets have played 36 games, with 21 wins against the spread.
• This year, Denver has won ATS in each of its two games as an underdog of 9 points or more.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under 66.7% of the time this year (24 of 36 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets score an average of 124.4 points per game, 13.9 more points than the 110.5 the Celtics give up.
• Denver is 19-13 against the spread and 23-9 overall when it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Nuggets have shot at a 50.8% rate from the field this season, 5.8 percentage points greater than the 45% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• This season, the Nuggets are 9-6-0 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). On the road, they are 12-9-0 ATS (.571).
• Denver's games have finished above the over/under 66.7% of the time both at home (10 of 15) and on the road (14 of 21) this year.
• The Nuggets' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .692 (9-4), and away it is .688 (11-5).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Jamal Murray is averaging 25.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 7.2 assists per contest. He's also draining 48% of his shots from the field and 44.7% from 3-point range (seventh in league), with 3.4 triples per contest (sixth in NBA).
• On a per-game basis, Peyton Watson gives the Nuggets 12.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 1 block.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 13.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.8% of his shots from the floor and 40.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per game.
• Bruce Brown is putting up 7.4 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is sinking 46.9% of his shots from the floor.
• The Nuggets are receiving 18.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Aaron Gordon this year.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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