Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 6

The Miami Heat (27-25) travel to face the Boston Celtics (33-18) after winning three road games in a row. Friday's game between the Celtics and the Heat sees the Celtics as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, February 6, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 - Heat 112

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Out of 51 games thus far this year, the Celtics have had 23 with over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• A total of 37 Heat games this season (out of 52) have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 235.8 points per game combined, 9.3 more than the total of 226.5.
• The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 0.1 more points per game than the point total of 226.5 set in this matchup.
• Boston has been victorious in 25, or 69.4%, of the 36 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Miami has been an underdog in 27 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (44.4%) in those contests.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Boston has a 2-0 record against Miami.
• The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when squaring off against the Heat.
• The Celtics covered the point spread in their past four games, and were the favorites in three of those games.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 4.4 points fewer than the 226.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Celtics are 29-21-1 this year.
• This season, Boston has an ATS record of 14-9 in its 23 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 19 times in 52 opportunities (36.5%).
• The Celtics put up 115.9 points per game, just 2.1 fewer points than the 118 the Heat give up.
• When Boston totals more than 118 points, it is 17-3 against the spread and 20-0 overall.
• This season, the Celtics have a 46.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.9% higher than the 46% of shots the Heat's opponents have made.
• The Celtics have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (17-9-1) than they have in home games (12-12-0).
• When playing at home, Boston goes over the total 37.5% of the time (nine of 24 games). It has hit the over in 37% of games on the road (10 of 27 contests).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-6 (.684). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 12-5 (.706).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown puts up 29.5 points, 7 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocks.
• Derrick White averages 17.3 points, 4.5 boards and 5.6 assists per contest, shooting 39% from the field and 32.3% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
• Nikola Vucevic averages 16.9 points, 9 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 50.5% from the field and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Payton Pritchard puts up 17.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta averages 10.1 points, 8.3 boards and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 1.4 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 235.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.4 greater than this matchup's over/under of 226.5.
• In the Heat's 52 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 6-3 in its nine games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 53.8% of the time this year (28 of 52 games with a set point total).
• The Heat's 119.9 points per game are 11.3 more points than the 108.6 the Celtics allow to opponents.
• Miami is 28-15 against the spread and 24-17 overall when it scores more than 108.6 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.4% from the field, 2.1% higher than the 44.3% the Celtics' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Heat have a lower winning percentage at home (.538, 14-12-0 record) than on the road (.577, 15-10-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami's games have finished over 53.8% of the time this season, both at home (14 of 26) and on the road (14 of 26).
• The Heat, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (11-8) than on the road (4-2) this season.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is putting up 18.1 points, 9.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He's also draining 44.4% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game.
• The Heat are getting 23 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Norman Powell this year.
• The Heat are getting 15.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr. this year.
• Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 15.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest while averaging 1.2 steals and 1 block.
• The Heat are getting 11.3 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Kel'el Ware this season.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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