Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 28

In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Cleveland Cavaliers will play the Miami Heat. The Cavaliers are currently strong 8.5-point favorites against the Heat. The over/under is 211.5 points for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Cavaliers-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV:

Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (211.5)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 118 - Heat 109

Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Of 82 games thus far this season, the Cavaliers have had 71 with over 211.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• This season, 57 of the Heat's 82 total matchups have gone over 211.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average 232.5 points per game combined, 21.0 more than the total of 211.5.
• The Cavaliers and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 10.9 more points per game than the over/under of 211.5 set for this outing.
• Cleveland has been the favorite in 74 games this season and has come away with the win 60 times (81.1%) in those contests.
• Miami has won in 11, or 29.7%, of the 37 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Cleveland has come out on top in five of its last six head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• Both the Cavaliers and the Heat are 3-3 against the spread in those contests.

Cavaliers Recent Trends

• The Cavaliers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Cleveland has averaged a total of 227.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 16.1 greater than this game's total of 211.5.
• The Cavaliers have played 82 games, with 49 wins against the spread.
• Cleveland is 22-21 ATS when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
• Cavaliers games this year have hit the over 59.8% of the time (49 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Cavaliers record 11.9 more points per game (121.9) than the Heat give up (110).
• Cleveland is 45-26 against the spread and 58-13 overall when scoring more than 110 points.
• The Cavaliers make 49.1% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
• The Cavaliers own a worse record against the spread at home (23-18-0) than they do in road games (26-15-0).
• Cleveland has hit the over on the total in 25 of 41 home games (61%), compared to 24 of 41 road games (58.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.850) compared to away games (.765).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell posts 24 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the floor and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 3.3 made treys per contest (eighth in league).
• Evan Mobley averages 18.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made treys per contest.
• Darius Garland puts up 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Jarrett Allen posts 13.5 points, 9.7 boards and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• De'Andre Hunter posts 17 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 47% from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per contest.

Cavaliers Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 3.3 points greater than the 211.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Heat's 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-1-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Heat games this season have gone over the point total 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up an average of 110.6 points per game, just 1.8 fewer points than the 112.4 the Cavaliers allow.
• Miami is 23-14-1 against the spread and 24-14 overall when it scores more than 112.4 points.
• The Heat's 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.1 percentage points higher than the Cavaliers have allowed to their opponents (45.4%).
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-1). Away, it is .415 (17-23-1).
• Miami's games have gone above the over/under 61% of the time at home (25 of 41), and 48.8% of the time away (20 of 41).
• The Heat, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (15-11) than on the road (11-8) this season.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 18.1 points, 9.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 23.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game from Tyler Herro this year.
• Andrew Wiggins gets the Heat 18 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest while posting 1 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Heat are receiving 9.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Kel'el Ware this season.
• The Heat are getting 7.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game from Davion Mitchell this year.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Miami Heat

Cleveland Cavaliers