Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

The Tampa Bay Rays and Yandy Diaz take the field at Yankee Stadium against Giancarlo Stanton and the New York Yankees on Thursday. Bookmakers list the Yankees as -110 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rays -110 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 31, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and FDSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Rays 46%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have been favorites in 92 games this season and won 52 (56.5%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 92 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 52-40 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Rays have been victorious in 22, or 42.3%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 22 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 2-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger is batting .283 with 20 doubles, five triples, 20 home runs and 32 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Bellinger is 27th in batting average, 63rd in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
• Bellinger takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two triples, a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .282 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Goldschmidt is 177th in homers and 152nd in RBI on the year.
• Anthony Volpe has 22 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 35 walks while batting .217.
• Volpe will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with two home runs and three RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .247 with nine doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 47 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 1-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz is batting .283 with 19 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 36 walks.
• In all of the big leagues, Diaz ranks 39th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Junior Caminero been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 27 home runs and 70 RBI.
• Caminero ranks sixth in homers and 15th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jonathan Aranda has racked up a team-best batting average of .315.
• Brandon Lowe has 12 doubles, 19 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .272.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays