Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets hit the field on Friday at Yankee Stadium against Carlos Rodon, who is the named starter for the New York Yankees. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Mets are +124 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Yankees (-148). The Yankees are a 1.5-run favorite (at +143 odds). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Yankees vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners.

Yankees vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and WPIX

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Mets 46%

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 23, or 63.9%, of those games.
• This season, the Yankees have won 15 of their 22 games, or 68.2%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (50%) in those games.
• The Mets have yet to enter a game this year with longer moneyline odds than +124.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 6-4 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has a team-best batting average of .412, and leads the Yankees in home runs (15) and runs batted in (41).
• Judge is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Judge carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .350 with four doubles, four home runs, six walks and eight RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .346 with 11 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
• Goldschmidt is 96th in homers in baseball, and 65th in RBI.
• Trent Grisham has a double, a triple, 12 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .283.
• Ben Rice is hitting .254 with 10 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso leads the lineup with a batting average of .311, while pacing the Mets in home runs, with nine and runs batted in with 36.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso's home run total is 24th and his RBI tally ranks third.
• Juan Soto is batting .255 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Soto is 33rd in homers and 83rd in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has nine home runs, best in the lineup.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .226 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Yankees

New York Mets