Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

The Miami Marlins and Kyle Stowers take the field at loanDepot park against Paul Goldschmidt and the New York Yankees on Friday. The favored Yankees have -161 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +135. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +104 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this game (with -115 odds on the over and -105 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Yankees vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and YES

Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Marlins 49%

Yankees vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 52, or 56.5%, of those games.
• New York is 30-18 this season when entering a game favored by -161 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 61.7%.
• The Marlins have won in 46, or 48.9%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 17-23 when favored by +135 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 2-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Yankees are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger is hitting .283 with 20 doubles, five triples, 20 home runs and 32 walks.
• Bellinger's home runs put him 24th in MLB, and he ranks 26th in RBI.
• Bellinger carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two triples, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Goldschmidt is hitting .282 with 24 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Goldschmidt is 178th in homers in MLB, and 153rd in RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .215 with 22 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .247 with nine doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 47 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Stowers paces the Marlins with 23 home runs and 63 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .298.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Stowers' home run total is 13th and his RBI tally ranks 26th.
• Otto Lopez has 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .251.
• Among all major league batters, Lopez is 122nd in home runs and 59th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .292 with 16 doubles, three triples, a home run and 37 walks.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .238 with 24 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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