Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Corbin Carroll take the field at Target Field against Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins on Friday. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -141, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +118 odds to upset. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). The total is 8 runs for this contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and ARID

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Minnesota is 18-18 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 30, or 48.4%, of the 62 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 17-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins did not win a game as the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games in six tries.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Twins are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton paces the Twins with 31 home runs and 76 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .275.
• Buxton is 11th in homers and 47th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Buxton has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .313 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and four RBIs.
• Larnach is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 48 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Larnach ranks 110th in home runs and 113th in RBI.
• Brooks Lee is hitting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 28 walks.
• Royce Lewis has 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 25 walks while batting .231.

Twins Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
• The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• The Diamondbacks are led in runs batted in by Geraldo Perdomo with a mark of 93, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .284.
• In all of MLB, Perdomo ranks 91st in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Carroll has shown off his power as he leads his team with 30 home runs.
• Carroll ranks 13th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ketel Marte is batting .281 with 22 doubles, 25 home runs and 63 walks.
• Gabriel Moreno is hitting .286 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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