Reds vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Bailey Ober gets the nod on the mound for the Minnesota Twins against the Cincinnati Reds and Noelvi Marte on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. The Reds are -129 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Twins (+109). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run total is set in this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Hunter Greene (4-6), and Ober (7-6) taking the ball for the Minnesota Twins.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Reds vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 50%, Twins 50%

Reds vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 37 times and won 22, or 59.5%, of those games.
• Cincinnati is 10-6 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• The Twins have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (38.8%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has a win-loss record of 12-16 when favored by +109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Reds were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just twice, and they won both games.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Reds have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 22 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in the majors, Steer is 63rd in home runs and 41st in RBI.
• Steer carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• TJ Friedl has a club-leading .273 batting average.
• Friedl ranks 153rd in home runs and 131st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Friedl heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a walk.
• Jonathan India is batting .242 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 44 walks.
• Jake Fraley is batting .266 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Twins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Max Kepler has swatted a team-leading 22 long balls.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Kepler's home run total ranks 63rd and his RBI tally is 110th.
• Kepler carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two triples, a home run, five walks and seven RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 65 RBI while batting .230. Each pace his team.
• Correa is currently 101st in home runs and 96th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Willi Castro is batting .249 with 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Royce Lewis is hitting .309 with seven doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks.