Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 29

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates square off against Roman Anthony and the Boston Red Sox on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -118 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Pirates (-102). Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the game (with -105 odds to hit the over and -115 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 29, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and SportsNet PT

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 66%, Pirates 34%

Red Sox vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 49 (60.5%) of those contests.
• Boston has a record of 44-25, a 63.8% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 93 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (40.9%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 34-50 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has accumulated a team-high batting average of .258.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Duran ranks 138th in homers and 38th in RBI.
• Trevor Story has shown his power as he paces his team with 22 home runs and 84 RBI.
• Story is 43rd in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .249 with 29 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 22 walks.
• Rafaela is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with three doubles, a home run and two RBIs.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .294 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 39 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 66 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds' home run total is 120th and his RBI tally ranks 58th.
• Oneil Cruz has put his power on display as he paces his team with 18 home runs.
• Cruz ranks 71st overall in homers and 119th in RBI this year.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .239 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa leads the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .268.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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