Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 9

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays will play Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox on Monday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The favored Rays have -111 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at -108. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +149 odds). An 8-run over/under is listed in this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 9, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSSUN

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Red Sox 49%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 37 times and won 21, or 56.8%, of those games.
• This season Tampa Bay has won 21 of its 35 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 10, or 45.5%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by -108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 5-1 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
• The Rays are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero has gone yard 15 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 40 runs, both totals that lead the Rays.
• Caminero's home runs put him 12th in the majors, and he ranks 19th in RBI.
• Diaz is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 17 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Diaz is 65th in homers and 43rd in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda has a team-high batting average of .320.
• Brandon Lowe is hitting .243 with eight doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.

Rays Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (14) and runs batted in (57).
• In all of the big leagues, Devers ranks 14th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Devers carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .263 with three doubles, two home runs, eight walks and nine RBIs.
• Duran is hitting .273 with 17 doubles, seven triples, four home runs and 19 walks.
• Duran ranks 185th in homers and 35th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Wilyer Abreu has eight doubles, 13 home runs and 24 walks while batting .245.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .244 with 10 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 13 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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