Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Cal Quantrill gets the nod for the Miami Marlins on Wednesday at PNC Park against Henry Davis and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates are -154 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+129). Pittsburgh is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +139 odds). The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 12:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and FDSFL

Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 55%, Marlins 45%

Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have been favored 21 times and won eight, or 38.1%, of those games.
• This season Pittsburgh has won one of its three games when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 21, or 37.5%, of the 56 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 11-20 when favored by +129 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Pirates' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz paces the Pirates with 13 home runs.
• Cruz ranks 20th in homers and 91st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Cruz has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Bryan Reynolds has collected 39 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Reynolds is 89th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates with a .264 batting average.
• McCutchen will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 10 doubles, a triple, a home run and 10 walks while batting .299.

Pirates Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez has seven doubles, six home runs and 19 walks while hitting .233.
• In all of the big leagues, Lopez is 132nd in home runs and 133rd in RBI.
• Lopez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two home runs, three walks and four RBIs.
• Kyle Stowers been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 10 home runs and 33 RBI.
• Stowers is 49th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 65th in RBI.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .252 with 13 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Xavier Edwards paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .277.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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