
Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26
Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies face Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees are listed as +112 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Phillies (-134). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +121 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 9 runs.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Phillies vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX
Phillies vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and NBCS-PH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -134 | +112 | 9 | -103 | -118 | -1.5 | +121 | -146 |
Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Yankees 47%
Phillies vs. Yankees Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 51, or 63%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 41-20 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.3% chance to win.
- The Yankees have won in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 47.2% chance of walking away with the win.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have a 4-5 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
- The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Schwarber leads the Phillies with 36 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
- Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber is 87th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
- Schwarber has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with four home runs, a walk and eight RBIs.
- Trea Turner is batting .296 to pace his team.
- Turner ranks 113th in home runs and 95th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Turner carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
- Bryce Harper is batting .267 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 46 walks.
- Nick Castellanos is hitting .270 with 23 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 22 walks.
- Castellanos is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .227 with a double, a home run and four RBIs.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
- The Yankees have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 3-7-0 against the spread.
Yankees Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 7 |
Yankees Player Insights
- Aaron Judge leads the squad with a batting average of .342, while leading the Yankees in home runs, with 37 and runs batted in with 85.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Judge ranks second in home runs and second in RBI.
- Bellinger has 20 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .284.
- Bellinger ranks 26th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .291 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 29 walks.
- Anthony Volpe is hitting .214 with 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks.
Yankees Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Oswald Peraza | - | - | - | - |
Phillies vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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