Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

The Cleveland Guardians will look to Daniel Schneemann for continued offensive production when they square off against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, in the final game of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The favored Phillies have -174 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +145. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7-run over/under has been set for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cleveland Guardians.

Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Guardians 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Guardians 50%

Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 19 out of the 31 games, or 61.3%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia is 9-2 this season when entering a game favored by -174 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 63.5%.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (47.8%) in those games.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 7-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 12 home runs and 29 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 12th in RBI.
• Harper is batting .242 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 27 walks.
• Harper is 40th in homers in the majors, and 45th in RBI.
• Trea Turner has a team-high batting average of .318.
• Turner is on a nine-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .386 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .261 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs and 13 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Guardians have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a team-leading batting average of .327.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Kwan is 113th in homers and 102nd in RBI.
• Jose Ramirez is batting .287 with eight doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Ramirez ranks 58th in homers and 88th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Kyle Manzardo leads the Guardians in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (22).
• Carlos Santana has three doubles, four home runs and 16 walks while batting .231.

Guardians Team Props

Phillies vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians

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