Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Manny Machado and Mickey Moniak will be among the star attractions when the San Diego Padres face the Colorado Rockies on Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET, at PETCO Park. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -265 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rockies +214 moneyline odds to win. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rockies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies.

Padres vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and COLR

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rockies 3
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 63%, Rockies 37%

Padres vs. Rockies Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 47 (58%) of those contests.
• San Diego has played as favorites of -265 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 142 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (27.5%) in those games.
• This season, Colorado has come away with a win 10 times in 51 chances when named as an underdog of at least +214 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 31.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 3-6 record over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
• The Padres have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .262 with 27 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 84 walks.
• Tatis' home runs put him 60th in the majors, and he is 92nd in RBI.
• Machado has hit 23 home runs with 84 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Machado ranks 49th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a .282 batting average.
• Ramon Laureano has hit 23 home runs to pace his team.

Padres Team Props

Rockies Recent Betting Performance

• The Rockies have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rockies and their opponents are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rockies have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rockies Recent Stats

Rockies Player Insights

• Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies in home runs (30), runs batted in (87) and has a team-best batting average of .282.
• In all of MLB, Goodman is 13th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Moniak has 17 doubles, eight triples, 19 home runs and 21 walks while batting .260.
• Moniak ranks 75th in home runs and 111th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jordan Beck has 26 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks while batting .268.
• Brenton Doyle is hitting .242 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 29 walks.

Rockies Team Props

Reds vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres

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