Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres will meet Marcus Semien and the Texas Rangers on Friday at PETCO Park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Padres as -111 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rangers -108 moneyline odds to win. Texas is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Padres vs. Phillies Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Game 2.

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SDPA, and CW33

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Rangers 47%

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 27 out of the 44 games, or 61.4%, in which they've been favored.
• San Diego has a record of 27-17 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -111 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 52.6% chance to win.
• The Rangers have won in 13, or 30.2%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 12-30 when favored by -108 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Machado paces the Padres in runs batted in (50) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .289.
• Machado's home runs rank him 47th in the majors, and he is 30th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 15 home runs lead his team.
• Tatis ranks 35th in homers in the majors, and 90th in RBI.
• Tatis has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with three walks and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez has 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 16 walks while batting .279.
• Gavin Sheets is batting .261 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.

Padres Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 2-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rangers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Semien has 10 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 36 walks while batting .238.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Semien's home run total ranks 119th and his RBI tally is 70th.
• Semien carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .302 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBIs.
• Josh Smith is hitting .287 to lead the lineup.
• Smith is 160th in home runs and 221st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers with 49 runs batted in.
• Corey Seager is hitting .249 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 29 walks.

Rangers Team Props

Padres vs. Phillies Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Game 2.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

San Diego Padres

Texas Rangers