Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Dean Kremer and the Baltimore Orioles will take the field against the Miami Marlins and starting pitcher Edward Cabrera on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles have been listed as -145 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+120). Baltimore (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Orioles Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles Game 2.

Orioles vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 11, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: MASN and FDSFL

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Marlins 47%

Orioles vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won 22 out of the 47 games, or 46.8%, in which they've been favored.
• Baltimore has entered 12 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 7-5 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 59.2% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (45.7%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 26-32 when favored by +120 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times over the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Orioles have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Ryan O'Hearn paces the Orioles with a team-best batting average of .284.
• In all of Major League Baseball, O'Hearn is 93rd in home runs and 142nd in RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson has 18 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 31 walks while batting .277.
• Henderson is 93rd in home runs and 151st in RBI in the bigs.
• Henderson heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run and two RBIs.
• Cedric Mullins has racked up a team-high 13 home runs and 41 runs batted in.
• Jackson Holliday is hitting .260 with 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 5-4.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez is hitting .246 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 28 walks.
• Lopez is 135th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Kyle Stowers been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 16 home runs and 48 runs batted in.
• Stowers is 36th in home runs and 55th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .245 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
• Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a .288 batting average.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Orioles Game 2 Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles Game 2.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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