Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 14

Ke'Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates will try to knock off Pete Alonso and the New York Mets when the teams square off on Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Mets as -270 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +219 moneyline odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -124 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets!

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 14, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and SportsNet PT

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Pirates 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 65%, Pirates 35%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 23, or 69.7%, of those games.
• New York has played as favorites of -270 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 73% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 28 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (32.1%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +219 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 31.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso is the bat to watch in the Mets lineup, leading the team in batting average (.310), home runs (9), and RBI (36).
• Of all hitters in MLB, Alonso is 19th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .255 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Soto ranks 32nd in home runs and 79th in RBI on the year.
• Soto carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a home run, four walks and three RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with nine home runs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .226 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks.
• Nimmo is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .216 with four doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 1-8-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has put up a team-high eight home runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Cruz ranks 32nd in homers and 99th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has seven doubles, three home runs and 17 walks while hitting .252.
• McCutchen is 158th overall in home runs and 154th in RBI this year.
• Hayes is hitting .260 with three doubles, two triples, a home run and nine walks.
• Bryan Reynolds has driven in a team-best 20 runs batted in.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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