Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 27

Mitchell Parker will take the mound for the Washington Nationals looking to shut down Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Mets as -148 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +124 moneyline odds to win. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN2 and WPIX

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Nationals 46%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 20 times this season and won 15, or 75%, of those games.
• This season New York has won nine of its 12 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won four of 13 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 6-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Peter Morgan Alonso is the bat to watch in the Mets lineup, leading the team in batting average (.333), home runs (6), and RBI (26).
• Including all MLB batters, Alonso ranks seventh in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Lindor is batting .314 with four doubles, five home runs and eight walks.
• Lindor is 36th in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Juan Soto is batting .235 with five doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has three doubles, four home runs and seven walks while hitting .200.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood paces the Nationals in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (19).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Wood is sixth in homers and 16th in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz's .300 batting average leads his team.
• Ruiz is currently 140th in homers and 68th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nate Lowe has a team-high 19 runs batted in.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .250 with three doubles, a home run and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

Mets vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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