
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2
The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers play on Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Juan Soto and Joey Ortiz have been on a tear in recent games for their respective clubs. The Mets are favored in this one, at -128, while the underdog Brewers have +107 odds to upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +162 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Brewers vs. Mets Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -128 | +107 | 8.5 | -103 | -118 | -1.5 | +162 | -198 |
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 7, Brewers 6
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Brewers 49%
Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have won 39 out of the 61 games, or 63.9%, in which they've been favored.
- New York has entered 51 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 33-18 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- The Brewers have won in 19, or 45.2%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 13 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Mets' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 6.28 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Mets Player Insights
- Soto paces the Mets with 20 home runs.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Soto's home run total places him 11th, and his RBI tally ranks him 38th.
- Pete Alonso has a club-leading 66 runs batted in and .291 batting average.
- Alonso is 16th in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Francisco Lindor has 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks while batting .255.
- Brandon Nimmo has 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .252.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Mark Vientos | - | - | - | - |
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Brewers have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Brewers Player Insights
- Jackson Chourio is hitting .250 with 22 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 16 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .282.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Chourio is 45th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
- Sal Frelick is hitting .301 to lead the lineup.
- Frelick is 182nd among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 103rd in RBI.
- Christian Yelich has been a significant run producer for the Brewers with 16 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
- Brice Turang is batting .291 with 14 doubles, five home runs and 37 walks.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jake Bauers | - | - | - | - |
Brewers vs. Mets Game 1 Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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