
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 23
Eric Wagaman and the Miami Marlins take the field against TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. ET, in the final of a three-game series at loanDepot park. The Marlins are listed as -110 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Reds (-109). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Reds vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Marlins vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, April 23, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to watch on TV: FDSFL and FDSOH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -110 | -109 | 8.5 | -102 | -118 | -1.5 | -185 | +152 |
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction
- Score Prediction: Reds 6, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Reds 49%
Marlins vs. Reds Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won both games they've played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as favorites of -110 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- The Reds have come away with seven wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 7-8 when favored by -109 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In the last 10 games, the Marlins were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only one time, a game they won.
- Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Marlins combined with their opponents to go over the run total eight times.
- The Marlins are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.17 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Otto Lopez is hitting .235 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
- Lopez's home runs put him 124th in the majors, and he is 96th in RBI.
- Lopez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with an RBI.
- Wagaman is batting .275 with four doubles, three home runs and six walks.
- Wagaman is 81st in home runs and 169th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
- Wagaman enters this matchup looking for his 11th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .378 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
- Xavier Edwards is hitting .284 with three doubles and 12 walks.
- Kyle Stowers' 15 runs batted in and .307 batting average both lead his team.
- Stowers brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .385 with a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+160) | - | 0.5 (+265) |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Eric Wagaman | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+155) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+255) |
| Ronny Simon | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (-135) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 3-2.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- The Reds are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with five home runs and runs batted in, driving in 22.
- Among all hitters in MLB, De La Cruz's home run total is 28th and his RBI tally ranks fifth.
- De La Cruz carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .250 with three home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
- Friedl is hitting .300 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and eight walks.
- Friedl is 183rd among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 78th in RBI.
- Gavin Lux leads the Reds' lineup with a .316 batting average.
- Matt McLain is batting .196 with a double, four home runs and 10 walks.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-210) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Noelvi Marte | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-210) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
Reds vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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